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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Tuesday, September 15, 2026 Week 1 · Final Edition

Back issue · The Sharp Edition, Week 1 as it stood when the week closed.

Week 1 · Sunday, September 13, 4:25 PM ET · Final ARI 26, LAC 14

Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Chargers

Chargers −9.5 at our first look, −9.5 at kickoff. 3 injury reports on file.

Line Movement

What moved the Chargers lineLos Angeles Chargers spread, consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi. Right = against Los Angeles.

−9.5 no movement since tracking began Wed 7:55 PM ET.

What moved the Chargers moneylineLos Angeles Chargers chance to win (no-vig consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi). Right = toward Los Angeles.
80%81%Opening line80.5% (−413)Price-only move−395Closing line79.8% (−395)
80%81%Opening line80.5% (−413)Price-only move−395Closing line79.8% (−395)

Final: ARI 26, LAC 14. Chargers lost at a 80% closing chance to win.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line80.5% (−413)
Price-only move79.8% (−395)
Closing line79.8% (−395)

Notes

FinalTue Sep 29, 2:56 PM · ARI

Cardinals Beat Chargers 26–14

Final: Arizona Cardinals 26, Los Angeles Chargers 14. Arizona won outright as the underdog; the closing line was Chargers −9.5.

ARI since this note: +9.5 → +9.5 (no move) at kickoff

Injury Report

Arizona Cardinals

PlayerChangeWorthPlayed
G Isaiah Adams
Wed 9:00 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 No
G Isaiah Adams
Fri 5:40 PM
Questionable → Out+0.1 No

Los Angeles Chargers

PlayerChangeWorthPlayed
LB Tuli Tuipulotu
Wed 7:59 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 Yes

Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.

Every Book · Chargers side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−9.5 −110−5001.20 79.8%—Sun 4:20 PM
DraftKings−8.5 −118−4551.22 78.7%—Sun 4:20 PM
FanDuel−9.5 −106−4901.20 79.9%—Sun 4:20 PM
BetMGM−9.5 −110−4751.21 79.7%—Sun 4:20 PM
Caesars−9.5 −108−5001.20 79.8%—Sun 4:20 PM
Fanatics−9 −110−5001.20 79.7%—Sun 4:20 PM
BetRivers−9 −112−5001.20 79.3%—Sun 4:20 PM
BetOnline−9.5 −105−5001.20 80.1%—Sun 4:20 PM
Bovada−8 −110−5001.20 79.3%—Sun 4:20 PM
LowVig−9.5 +104−5001.20 80.1%—Sun 4:20 PM
MyBookie−9.5 −110−5261.19 79.8%—Sun 4:20 PM
BetUS−9.5 +100−5001.20 80.3%—Sun 4:20 PM

Best for ARI: BetMGM +9.5 (−108)Best for LAC: DraftKings −8.5 (−118)

Closing prices: the last quote before kickoff. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Cardinals side is the mirror image.