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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Tuesday, September 15, 2026 Week 1 · Final Edition

Back issue · The Sharp Edition, Week 1 as it stood when the week closed.

Week 1 · Sunday, September 13, 1:00 PM ET · Final CHI 59, CAR 37

Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers

Panthers +3 at our first look, +3 at kickoff. 6 injury reports on file.

Line Movement

What moved the Panthers lineCarolina Panthers spread, consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi. Right = against Carolina.

+3 no movement since tracking began Tue 5:05 PM ET.

What moved the Panthers moneylineCarolina Panthers chance to win (no-vig consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi). Right = toward Carolina.
40%41%Opening line40.3% (+148)Closing line40.7% (+146)
40%41%Opening line40.3% (+148)Closing line40.7% (+146)

Final: CHI 59, CAR 37. Panthers lost at a 41% closing chance to win.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line40.3% (+148)
Closing line40.7% (+146)

Notes

FinalTue Sep 29, 2:56 PM · CHI

Bears Beat Panthers 59–37

Final: Chicago Bears 59, Carolina Panthers 37. The closing line was Panthers +3; Chicago covered by 19.

CHI since this note: −3 → −3 (no move) at kickoff

Injury Report

Chicago Bears

PlayerChangeWorthPlayed
RB D'Andre Swift
Tue 5:06 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 Yes
S Xavier Woods
Thu 3:45 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 No
S Xavier Woods
Sun 11:51 AM
Questionable → Out+0.3 No

Carolina Panthers

PlayerChangeWorthPlayed
EDGE Bobby Brown III
Wed 3:54 PM
Active → Questionable+0.4 Yes
LB Patrick Jones II
Wed 3:54 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 No
LB Patrick Jones II
Fri 1:34 PM
Questionable → Out+0.3 No

Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.

Every Book · Panthers side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus+3 −110+1352.35 40.7%—Sun 12:55 PM
DraftKings+3 −108+1402.40 40.0%—Sun 12:55 PM
FanDuel+3 −115+1362.36 40.7%—Sun 12:55 PM
BetMGM+3 −105+1352.35 40.9%—Sun 12:55 PM
Caesars+3 −113+1362.36 40.7%—Sun 12:55 PM
Fanatics+3 −115+1352.35 40.6%—Sun 12:55 PM
BetRivers+3 −110+1382.38 40.2%—Sun 12:55 PM
BetOnline+3 −115+1352.35 41.2%—Sun 12:55 PM
Bovada+3 −120+1352.35 40.9%—Sun 12:55 PM
LowVig+3 −110+1352.35 41.2%—Sun 12:55 PM
MyBookie+2.5 +105+1332.33 40.9%—Sun 12:55 PM
BetUS+3 −110+1382.38 40.6%—Sun 12:55 PM

Best for CHI: FanDuel −3 (−105)Best for CAR: BetMGM +3 (−105)

Closing prices: the last quote before kickoff. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Bears side is the mirror image.