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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Tuesday, September 15, 2026 Week 1 · Final Edition

Back issue · The Sharp Edition, Week 1 as it stood when the week closed.

Week 1 · Sunday, September 13, 1:00 PM ET · Final CLE 10, JAX 34

Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville Jaguars

Jaguars −8.5 at our first look, −8.5 at kickoff. 4 injury reports on file.

Line Movement

What moved the Jaguars lineJacksonville Jaguars spread, consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi. Right = against Jacksonville.

−8.5 no movement since tracking began Wed 11:05 AM ET.

What moved the Jaguars moneylineJacksonville Jaguars chance to win (no-vig consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi). Right = toward Jacksonville.
77%78%79%Opening line77.2% (−339)Price-only move−365Closing line78.5% (−365)
77%78%79%Opening line77.2% (−339)Price-only move−365Closing line78.5% (−365)

Final: CLE 10, JAX 34. Jaguars won at a 78% closing chance to win.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line77.2% (−339)
Price-only move78.5% (−365)
Closing line78.5% (−365)

Notes

FinalTue Sep 29, 2:56 PM · JAX

Jaguars Beat Browns 34–10

Final: Cleveland Browns 10, Jacksonville Jaguars 34. The closing line was Jaguars −8.5; Jacksonville covered by 15.5.

JAX since this note: −8.5 → −8.5 (no move) at kickoff

Injury Report

Cleveland Browns

PlayerChangeWorthPlayed
G Teven Jenkins
Wed 4:55 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 No
DT Maliek Collins
Wed 4:55 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 Yes
G Teven Jenkins
Fri 3:37 PM
Questionable → Out+0.1 No

Jacksonville Jaguars

PlayerChangeWorthPlayed
RT Cole Van Lanen
Wed 11:09 AM
Active → Questionable+0.1 Yes

Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.

Every Book · Jaguars side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−8.5 −110−4501.22 78.5%—Sun 12:55 PM
DraftKings−8.5 −115−4701.21 79.1%—Sun 12:55 PM
FanDuel−8.5 −108−4501.22 78.6%—Sun 12:55 PM
BetMGM−9 −105−4501.22 78.6%—Sun 12:55 PM
Caesars−8.5 −112−4601.22 78.3%—Sun 12:55 PM
Fanatics−8.5 −110−4501.22 78.3%—Sun 12:55 PM
BetRivers−9 −109−4351.23 77.6%—Sun 12:55 PM
BetOnline−8.5 −110−4451.22 78.5%—Sun 12:55 PM
Bovada−8.5 −105−4201.24 77.0%—Sun 12:55 PM
LowVig−9 +104−4451.22 78.5%—Sun 12:55 PM
MyBookie−8.5 −110−4811.21 78.8%—Sun 12:55 PM
BetUS−9 −110−4451.22 78.6%—Sun 12:55 PM

Best for CLE: BetMGM +9 (−105)Best for JAX: FanDuel −8.5 (−108)

Closing prices: the last quote before kickoff. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Browns side is the mirror image.