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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Tuesday, September 15, 2026 Week 1 · Final Edition

Back issue · The Sharp Edition, Week 1 as it stood when the week closed.

Week 1 · Sunday, September 13, 8:20 PM ET · Final DAL 20, NYG 28

Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants

Giants +3 at our first look, +3 at kickoff. 3 injury reports on file.

Line Movement

What moved the Giants lineNew York Giants spread, consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi. Right = against New York.

+3 no movement since tracking began Mon 3:55 PM ET.

What moved the Giants moneylineNew York Giants chance to win (no-vig consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi). Right = toward New York.
39%40%41%Opening line41.2% (+143)Price-only move+156Closing line39.1% (+156)
39%40%41%Opening line41.2% (+143)Price-only move+156Closing line39.1% (+156)

Final: DAL 20, NYG 28. Giants won at a 39% closing chance to win.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line41.2% (+143)
Price-only move39.1% (+156)
Closing line39.1% (+156)

Notes

FinalTue Sep 29, 2:56 PM · NYG

Giants Beat Cowboys 28–20

Final: Dallas Cowboys 20, New York Giants 28. New York won outright as the underdog; the closing line was Giants +3.

NYG since this note: +3 → +3 (no move) at kickoff

Injury Report

Dallas Cowboys

PlayerChangeWorthPlayed
G Tyler Smith
Mon 3:56 PM		 Active → Doubtful+0.4 No
G Tyler Smith
Tue 10:37 AM		 Doubtful → Out+0.0 No
G Tyler Smith
Wed 12:31 PM		 Out → IR0.0 No

New York Giants

Nothing on the report.

Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.

Every Book · Giants side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus+3 −105+1452.45 39.1%—Sun 8:15 PM
DraftKings+3 −108+1402.40 40.0%—Sun 8:15 PM
FanDuel+3 −105+1402.40 40.0%—Sun 8:15 PM
BetMGM+3 +100+1452.45 39.1%—Sun 8:15 PM
Caesars+3 −102+1432.43 39.5%—Sun 8:15 PM
Fanatics+3 −105+1452.45 39.1%—Sun 8:15 PM
BetRivers+3 −108+1382.38 40.2%—Sun 8:15 PM
BetOnline+3 −101+1532.53 38.3%—Sun 8:15 PM
Bovada+3 +100+1502.50 38.6%—Sun 8:15 PM
LowVig+3 +101+1492.49 38.9%—Sun 8:15 PM
MyBookie+3 −105+1392.39 39.8%—Sun 8:15 PM
BetUS+3 −105+1502.50 38.6%—Sun 8:15 PM

Best for DAL: DraftKings −3 (−112)Best for NYG: BetMGM +3 (+100)

Closing prices: the last quote before kickoff. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Cowboys side is the mirror image.