0 reports filed today
Every book · every report · every result

The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Tuesday, September 15, 2026 Week 1 · Final Edition

Back issue · The Sharp Edition, Week 1 as it stood when the week closed.

Week 1 · Monday, September 14, 8:15 PM ET · Final DEN 10, KC 31

Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs

Chiefs −2.5 at our first look, −1.5 at kickoff. 4 injury reports on file.

Line Movement

What moved the Chiefs lineKansas City Chiefs spread, consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi. Right = against Kansas City.
−3−2−1Opening line−2.5Market move, no reported newsMon 8:10 PM+1Closing line−1.5
−3−2−1Opening line−2.5Market move, no reported newsMon 8:10 PM+1Closing line−1.5

Final: DEN 10, KC 31. Chiefs beat the closing number by 19.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−2.5
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 14, 8:10 PM ET+1
Closing line−1.5
What moved the Chiefs moneylineKansas City Chiefs chance to win (no-vig consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi). Right = toward Kansas City.
53%54%55%56%57%Opening line57.1% (−133)Market move, no reported newsMon 8:10 PM−121Price-only move−116Closing line53.7% (−116)
53%54%55%56%57%Opening line57.1% (−133)Market move, no reported newsMon 8:10 PM−121Price-only move−116Closing line53.7% (−116)

Final: DEN 10, KC 31. Chiefs won at a 54% closing chance to win.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line57.1% (−133)
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 14, 8:10 PM ET54.8% (−121)
Price-only move53.7% (−116)
Closing line53.7% (−116)

Notes

FinalTue Sep 29, 2:56 PM · KC

Chiefs Beat Broncos 31–10

Final: Denver Broncos 10, Kansas City Chiefs 31. The closing line was Chiefs −1.5; Kansas City covered by 19.5.

KC since this note: −1.5 → −1.5 (no move) at kickoff

Injury Report

Denver Broncos

Nothing on the report.

Kansas City Chiefs

PlayerChangeWorthPlayed
S Chamarri Conner
Tue 2:21 PM		 Active → Questionable+0.1 No
DT Chris Jones
Fri 9:03 PM		 Active → Questionable+0.2 Yes
LT Josh Simmons
Sat 2:25 PM		 Questionable → Out+0.5 No
S Chamarri Conner
Sat 2:25 PM		 Questionable → Out+0.3 No

Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.

Every Book · Chiefs side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−1.5 −110−1291.78 53.7%—Mon 8:10 PM
DraftKings−2.5 −108−1301.77 54.3%—Mon 8:10 PM
FanDuel−2.5 −104−1321.76 54.7%—Mon 8:10 PM
BetMGM−1.5 −118−1251.80 53.2%—Mon 8:10 PM
Caesars−2.5 −105−1331.75 54.9%—Mon 8:10 PM
Fanatics−1.5 −110−1351.74 54.7%—Mon 8:10 PM
BetRivers−2 −110−1291.78 53.7%—Mon 8:10 PM
BetOnline−1.5 −110−1231.81 52.8%—Mon 8:10 PM
Bovada−1.5 −110−1251.80 53.2%—Mon 8:10 PM
LowVig−1.5 −102−1211.83 52.4%—Mon 8:10 PM
MyBookie−2 −110−1301.77 53.8%—Mon 8:10 PM
BetUS−1 −120−1251.80 53.2%—Mon 8:10 PM

Best for DEN: DraftKings +2.5 (−112)Best for KC: Fanatics −1.5 (−110)

Closing prices: the last quote before kickoff. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Broncos side is the mirror image.