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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Tuesday, September 15, 2026 Week 1 · Final Edition

Back issue · The Sharp Edition, Week 1 as it stood when the week closed.

Week 1 · Sunday, September 13, 1:00 PM ET · Final NO 30, DET 31

New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions

Lions −7 at our first look, −7 at kickoff. 2 injury reports on file.

Line Movement

What moved the Lions lineDetroit Lions spread, consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi. Right = against Detroit.

−7 no movement since tracking began Wed 4:50 PM ET.

What moved the Lions moneylineDetroit Lions chance to win (no-vig consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi). Right = toward Detroit.
73%74%Opening line72.9% (−269)Price-only move−283Closing line73.9% (−283)
73%74%Opening line72.9% (−269)Price-only move−283Closing line73.9% (−283)

Final: NO 30, DET 31. Lions won at a 74% closing chance to win.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line72.9% (−269)
Price-only move73.9% (−283)
Closing line73.9% (−283)

Notes

FinalTue Sep 29, 2:57 PM · DET

Lions Beat Saints 31–30

Final: New Orleans Saints 30, Detroit Lions 31. The closing line was Lions −7; New Orleans covered by 6.

DET since this note: −7 → −7 (no move) at kickoff

Injury Report

New Orleans Saints

PlayerChangeWorthPlayed
EDGE Cameron Jordan
Wed 4:55 PM
Questionable → Out+0.3 No
EDGE John Ridgeway III
Sun 12:12 PM
Active → Out+0.4 No

Detroit Lions

Nothing on the report.

Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.

Every Book · Lions side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−7 −110−3351.30 73.9%—Sun 12:55 PM
DraftKings−7 −110−3251.31 73.4%—Sun 12:55 PM
FanDuel−6.5 −122−3401.29 74.3%—Sun 12:55 PM
BetMGM−7 −105−3251.31 73.9%—Sun 12:55 PM
Caesars−7 −105−3351.30 73.8%—Sun 12:55 PM
Fanatics−7 −105−3201.31 72.7%—Sun 12:55 PM
BetRivers−7 −110−3451.29 73.9%—Sun 12:55 PM
BetOnline−7 −104−3401.29 74.3%—Sun 12:55 PM
Bovada−6.5 −115−3101.32 72.9%—Sun 12:55 PM
LowVig−7 +105−3401.29 74.3%—Sun 12:55 PM
MyBookie−6.5 −110−3001.33 71.5%—Sun 12:55 PM
BetUS−7 −110−3401.29 74.3%—Sun 12:55 PM

Best for NO: DraftKings +7 (−110)Best for DET: FanDuel −6.5 (−122)

Closing prices: the last quote before kickoff. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Saints side is the mirror image.