Week 2 · Sunday, September 20, 1:00 PM ET · Final CAR 34, ATL 3
Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons
Falcons +1.5 at our first look, +2.5 at kickoff. 18 injury reports on file.
Line Movement
Final: CAR 34, ATL 3. Falcons missed the closing number by 28.5.
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | +1.5 | |
| ATL DT Hand to injured reserve | Wed Sep 16, 11:55 AM ET | +1 |
| Closing line | +2.5 |
Final: CAR 34, ATL 3. Falcons lost at a 44% closing chance to win.
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 47.4% (+111) | |
| ATL DT Hand to injured reserve | Wed Sep 16, 11:55 AM ET | 45.1% (+122) |
| Price-only move | 44.0% (+127) | |
| Closing line | 44.0% (+127) |
Notes
Panthers Beat Falcons 34–3 Despite Rush Starting
Final: Carolina Panthers 34, Atlanta Falcons 3. Cooper Rush started at quarterback for Atlanta in place of Michael Penix Jr. and went 10/17 for 86 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. The closing line was Falcons +2.5; Carolina covered by 28.5.
CAR since this note: −2.5 → −2.5 (no move) at kickoff
Falcons Turn to Michael Penix Jr. at Quarterback
Atlanta Falcons now list Michael Penix Jr. as the starting quarterback on their depth chart, replacing Tua Tagovailoa. On our ratings that is a downgrade of about 0.6 points a game.
Injury Report
Carolina Panthers
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| LB Patrick Jones II Mon 11:40 AM |
Out → Questionable | −0.1 | No |
| WR Jalen Coker Mon 2:43 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.2 | Yes |
| EDGE Bobby Brown III Fri 1:02 PM |
Questionable → Out | +0.3 | No |
| LB Patrick Jones II Sun 12:02 PM |
Questionable → Out | +0.1 | No |
Atlanta Falcons
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| LB Christian Harris Mon 11:19 AM |
Out → Returning | −0.2 | Yes |
| DT Da'Shawn Hand Mon 11:40 AM |
Questionable → Doubtful | +0.1 | No |
| DT Da'Shawn Hand Mon 2:43 PM |
Doubtful → Out | +0.0 | No |
| DT Da'Shawn Hand Wed 11:59 AM |
Out → IR | 0.0 | No |
| QB Tua Tagovailoa Wed 1:00 PM |
Out → Questionable | −0.5 | No |
| CB A.J. Terrell Jr. Wed 4:44 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | Yes |
| QB Michael Penix Jr. Wed 5:45 PM |
Out → Questionable | 0.0 | No |
| LB Kendal Daniels Thu 3:54 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | Yes |
| G Chris Lindstrom Thu 10:01 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | Yes |
| QB Tua Tagovailoa Fri 1:43 PM |
Questionable → Doubtful | +0.5 | No |
| QB Michael Penix Jr. Fri 1:43 PM |
Questionable → Out | 0.0 | No |
| CB A.J. Terrell Jr. Fri 7:30 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | Yes |
| LB Divine Deablo Sun 9:59 AM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | Yes |
| QB Tua Tagovailoa Sun 12:02 PM |
Doubtful → Out | +0.0 | No |
Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.
Every Book · Falcons side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | +2.5 | −105 | +119 | 2.19 | 44.0% | — | Sun 12:55 PM |
| DraftKings | +2.5 | −102 | +120 | 2.20 | 43.7% | — | Sun 12:55 PM |
| FanDuel | +2.5 | −105 | +120 | 2.20 | 43.7% | — | Sun 12:55 PM |
| BetMGM | +2.5 | −108 | +115 | 2.15 | 44.7% | — | Sun 12:55 PM |
| Caesars | +2.5 | −104 | +120 | 2.20 | 43.7% | — | Sun 12:55 PM |
| Fanatics | +2.5 | −110 | +115 | 2.15 | 44.4% | — | Sun 12:55 PM |
| BetRivers | +2.5 | −109 | +120 | 2.20 | 43.2% | — | Sun 12:55 PM |
| BetOnline | +2.5 | −110 | +114 | 2.14 | 44.9% | — | Sun 12:55 PM |
| Bovada | +2 | −105 | — | — | — | — | Sun 12:55 PM |
| LowVig | +2.5 | −105 | +114 | 2.14 | 44.9% | — | Sun 12:55 PM |
| MyBookie | +2.5 | −110 | +118 | 2.18 | 44.2% | — | Sun 12:55 PM |
| BetUS | +2 | +100 | +120 | 2.20 | 43.8% | — | Sun 12:55 PM |
Best for CAR: BetMGM −2.5 (−110)Best for ATL: DraftKings +2.5 (−102)
Closing prices: the last quote before kickoff. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Panthers side is the mirror image.