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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Tuesday, September 22, 2026 Week 2 · Final Edition

Back issue · The Sharp Edition, Week 2 as it stood when the week closed.

Week 2 · Sunday, September 20, 4:05 PM ET · Final JAX 13, DEN 20

Jacksonville Jaguars at Denver Broncos

Broncos −2.5 at our first look, −2.5 at kickoff. 3 injury reports on file.

Line Movement

What moved the Broncos lineDenver Broncos spread, consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi. Right = against Denver.

−2.5 no movement since tracking began Wed 4:40 PM ET.

What moved the Broncos moneylineDenver Broncos chance to win (no-vig consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi). Right = toward Denver.
57%58%Opening line57.4% (−135)Price-only move−132Closing line56.9% (−132)
57%58%Opening line57.4% (−135)Price-only move−132Closing line56.9% (−132)

Final: JAX 13, DEN 20. Broncos won at a 57% closing chance to win.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line57.4% (−135)
Price-only move56.9% (−132)
Closing line56.9% (−132)

Notes

FinalTue Sep 29, 12:18 AM · DEN

Broncos Beat Jaguars 20–13

Final: Jacksonville Jaguars 13, Denver Broncos 20. The closing line was Broncos −2.5; Denver covered by 4.5.

DEN since this note: −2.5 → −2.5 (no move) at kickoff

Injury Report

Jacksonville Jaguars

PlayerChangeWorthPlayed
RT Cole Van Lanen
Wed 4:44 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 Yes
LB Foyesade Oluokun
Wed 4:44 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 Yes
WR Jakobi Meyers
Wed 4:44 PM
Active → Questionable+0.2 Yes

Denver Broncos

Nothing on the report.

Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.

Every Book · Broncos side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−2.5 −115−1451.69 56.9%—Sun 4:00 PM
DraftKings−2.5 −115−1481.68 57.2%—Sun 4:00 PM
FanDuel−2.5 −120−1461.68 57.1%—Sun 4:00 PM
BetMGM−2.5 −118−1451.69 56.6%—Sun 4:00 PM
Caesars−2.5 −122−1451.69 56.9%—Sun 4:00 PM
Fanatics−2.5 −115−1451.69 56.6%—Sun 4:00 PM
BetRivers−2.5 −115−1521.66 57.6%—Sun 4:00 PM
BetOnline−2.5 −118−1451.69 57.1%—Sun 4:00 PM
Bovada−2.5 −115−1401.71 56.2%—Sun 4:00 PM
LowVig−2.5 −112−1421.70 56.6%—Sun 4:00 PM
MyBookie−2.5 −115−1451.69 56.9%—Sun 4:00 PM
BetUS−2.5 −115−1401.71 56.2%—Sun 4:00 PM

Best for JAX: Caesars +2.5 (+105)Best for DEN: DraftKings −2.5 (−115)

Closing prices: the last quote before kickoff. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Jaguars side is the mirror image.