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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Tuesday, September 22, 2026 Week 2 · Final Edition

Back issue · The Sharp Edition, Week 2 as it stood when the week closed.

Week 2 · Sunday, September 20, 4:05 PM ET · Final LV 26, LAC 14

Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Chargers

Chargers −7 at our first look, −6.5 at kickoff. 9 injury reports on file.

Line Movement

What moved the Chargers lineLos Angeles Chargers spread, consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi. Right = against Los Angeles.
−7−6Opening line−7LAC EDGE Tart questionableWed 6:45 PM+0.5Closing line−6.5
−7−6Opening line−7LAC EDGE Tart questionableWed 6:45 PM+0.5Closing line−6.5

Final: LV 26, LAC 14. Chargers missed the closing number by 18.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−7
LAC EDGE Tart questionableWed Sep 16, 6:45 PM ET+0.5
Closing line−6.5
What moved the Chargers moneylineLos Angeles Chargers chance to win (no-vig consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi). Right = toward Los Angeles.
72%73%74%75%Opening line75.0% (−300)LAC EDGE Tart questionableWed 6:45 PM−276Price-only move−265Closing line72.6% (−265)
72%73%74%75%Opening line75.0% (−300)LAC EDGE Tart questionableWed 6:45 PM−276Price-only move−265Closing line72.6% (−265)

Final: LV 26, LAC 14. Chargers lost at a 73% closing chance to win.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line75.0% (−300)
LAC EDGE Tart questionableWed Sep 16, 6:45 PM ET73.4% (−276)
Price-only move72.6% (−265)
Closing line72.6% (−265)

Notes

FinalTue Sep 29, 12:18 AM · LV

Raiders Beat Chargers 26–14

Final: Las Vegas Raiders 26, Los Angeles Chargers 14. Las Vegas won outright as the underdog; the closing line was Chargers −6.5.

LV since this note: +6.5 → +6.5 (no move) at kickoff

Injury Report

Las Vegas Raiders

PlayerChangeWorthPlayed
CB Darien Porter
Sun 7:41 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 No
CB Darien Porter
Fri 3:05 PM
Questionable → Out+0.1 No
TE Brock Bowers
Fri 4:27 PM
Questionable → Doubtful+0.1 No
TE Brock Bowers
Sun 3:07 PM
Doubtful → Out+0.0 No

Los Angeles Chargers

PlayerChangeWorthPlayed
S Elijah Molden
Sun 7:00 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 No
WR Ladd McConkey
Mon 2:02 PM
Active → Questionable+0.2 Yes
EDGE Teair Tart
Wed 6:47 PM
Active → Questionable+0.2 Yes
DT Dalvin Tomlinson
Wed 6:47 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 Yes
S Elijah Molden
Fri 4:47 PM
Questionable → Out+0.1 No

Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.

Every Book · Chargers side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−6.5 −115−3101.32 72.6%—Sun 4:00 PM
DraftKings−6.5 −122−3251.31 73.4%—Sun 4:00 PM
FanDuel−6.5 −115−3101.32 72.6%—Sun 4:00 PM
BetMGM−6.5 −115−3001.33 72.4%—Sun 4:00 PM
Caesars−6.5 −117−3101.32 72.6%—Sun 4:00 PM
Fanatics−6.5 −115−3001.33 71.8%—Sun 4:00 PM
BetRivers−6.5 −115−3151.32 72.4%—Sun 4:00 PM
BetOnline−6.5 −115−3121.32 72.8%—Sun 4:00 PM
Bovada−6.5 −110−3001.33 72.4%—Sun 4:00 PM
LowVig−6.5 −108−3121.32 72.8%—Sun 4:00 PM
MyBookie−6.5 −115−3001.33 72.3%—Sun 4:00 PM
BetUS−6.5 −110−3101.32 72.9%—Sun 4:00 PM

Best for LV: DraftKings +6.5 (+102)Best for LAC: FanDuel −6.5 (−115)

Closing prices: the last quote before kickoff. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Raiders side is the mirror image.