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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Tuesday, September 22, 2026 Week 2 · Final Edition

Back issue · The Sharp Edition, Week 2 as it stood when the week closed.

Week 2 · Sunday, September 20, 1:00 PM ET · Final NO 24, BAL 17

New Orleans Saints at Baltimore Ravens

Ravens −8.5 at our first look, −8.5 at kickoff. 14 injury reports on file.

Line Movement

What moved the Ravens lineBaltimore Ravens spread, consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi. Right = against Baltimore.

−8.5 no movement since tracking began Mon 9:35 AM ET.

What moved the Ravens moneylineBaltimore Ravens chance to win (no-vig consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi). Right = toward Baltimore.
77%78%Opening line78.0% (−355)Price-only move−341Closing line77.3% (−341)
77%78%Opening line78.0% (−355)Price-only move−341Closing line77.3% (−341)

Final: NO 24, BAL 17. Ravens lost at a 77% closing chance to win.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line78.0% (−355)
Price-only move77.3% (−341)
Closing line77.3% (−341)

Notes

FinalTue Sep 29, 2:57 PM · NO

Saints Beat Ravens 24–17

Final: New Orleans Saints 24, Baltimore Ravens 17. New Orleans won outright as the underdog; the closing line was Ravens −8.5.

NO since this note: +8.5 → +8.5 (no move) at kickoff

Injury Report

New Orleans Saints

PlayerChangeWorthPlayed
EDGE Cameron Jordan
Mon 11:40 AM
Out → Questionable−0.3 Yes
TE Juwan Johnson
Wed 5:45 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 Yes
WR Chris Olave
Thu 4:35 PM
Active → Questionable+0.2 Yes
LB Chase Young
Thu 5:56 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 Yes

Baltimore Ravens

PlayerChangeWorthPlayed
WR Zay Flowers
Mon 9:38 AM
Active → Questionable+0.2 No
LB Teddye Buchanan
Mon 11:19 AM
Out → Questionable−0.1 No
G John Simpson
Wed 6:06 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 Yes
LT Ronnie Stanley
Wed 6:06 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 Yes
LB Trey Hendrickson
Wed 6:06 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 Yes
EDGE Nnamdi Madubuike
Wed 8:28 PM
Out → Questionable−0.3 No
WR Zay Flowers
Fri 3:26 PM
Questionable → Doubtful+0.3 No
EDGE Nnamdi Madubuike
Fri 3:46 PM
Questionable → Out+0.3 No
LB Teddye Buchanan
Fri 3:46 PM
Questionable → Out+0.1 No
WR Zay Flowers
Sat 4:18 PM
Doubtful → Out+0.0 No

Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.

Every Book · Ravens side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−8.5 −105−4081.25 77.3%—Sun 12:55 PM
DraftKings−8.5 −105−3751.27 75.7%—Sun 12:55 PM
FanDuel−8.5 −102−4201.24 77.6%—Sun 12:55 PM
BetMGM−8.5 −105−4001.25 76.6%—Sun 12:55 PM
Caesars−8 −109−4001.25 77.1%—Sun 12:55 PM
Fanatics−7.5 −115−4251.24 77.5%—Sun 12:55 PM
BetRivers−8.5 −112−4351.23 77.8%—Sun 12:55 PM
BetOnline−9 +101−4151.24 77.5%—Sun 12:55 PM
Bovada−7.5 −115—— ——Sun 12:55 PM
LowVig−9 +104−4151.24 77.5%—Sun 12:55 PM
MyBookie−9 +100−3911.26 76.6%—Sun 12:55 PM
BetUS−9 +100−4001.25 77.1%—Sun 12:55 PM

Best for NO: BetMGM +8.5 (−105)Best for BAL: Fanatics −7.5 (−115)

Closing prices: the last quote before kickoff. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Saints side is the mirror image.