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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Tuesday, September 22, 2026 Week 2 · Final Edition

Back issue · The Sharp Edition, Week 2 as it stood when the week closed.

Week 2 · Monday, September 21, 8:15 PM ET · Final NYG 6, LA 28

New York Giants at Los Angeles Rams

Rams −9.5 at our first look, −6.5 at kickoff. 18 injury reports on file.

Line Movement

What moved the Rams lineLos Angeles Rams spread, consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi. Right = against Los Angeles.
−10−9−8−7−6Opening line−9.5LA LB Landman questionableMon 12:40 PM+2.5LA WR Nacua ruled outMon 7:10 PM+0.5Closing line−6.5
−10−9−8−7−6Opening line−9.5LA LB Landman questionableMon 12:40 PM+2.5LA WR Nacua ruled outMon 7:10 PM+0.5Closing line−6.5

Final: NYG 6, LA 28. Rams beat the closing number by 15.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−9.5
LA LB Landman questionableMon Sep 14, 12:40 PM ET+2.5
LA WR Nacua ruled outMon Sep 21, 7:10 PM ET+0.5
Closing line−6.5
What moved the Rams moneylineLos Angeles Rams chance to win (no-vig consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi). Right = toward Los Angeles.
72%74%76%78%80%Opening line80.5% (−413)LA LB Landman questionableMon 12:40 PM−273LA WR Nacua ruled outMon 7:10 PM−252Closing line71.8% (−255)
72%74%76%78%80%Opening line80.5% (−413)LA LB Landman questionableMon 12:40 PM−273LA WR Nacua ruled outMon 7:10 PM−252Closing line71.8% (−255)

Final: NYG 6, LA 28. Rams won at a 72% closing chance to win.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line80.5% (−413)
LA LB Landman questionableMon Sep 14, 12:40 PM ET73.2% (−273)
LA WR Nacua ruled outMon Sep 21, 7:10 PM ET71.6% (−252)
Closing line71.8% (−255)

Notes

FinalTue Sep 29, 2:57 PM · LA

Rams Beat Giants 28–6 Despite Winston Starting

Final: New York Giants 6, Los Angeles Rams 28. Jameis Winston started at quarterback for New York in place of Jaxson Dart and went 11/27 for 111 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception. The closing line was Rams −6.5; Los Angeles covered by 15.5. The market moved Los Angeles 0.5 points over Puka Nacua's absence (−7 to −6.5); Rams beat that closing number by 15.5.

LA since this note: −6.5 → −6.5 (no move) at kickoff

Injury Report

New York Giants

PlayerChangeWorthPlayed
LT Andrew Thomas
Thu 5:56 PM
Active → Questionable+0.3 Yes
CB Greg Newsome II
Thu 5:56 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 Yes
EDGE Chauncey Golston
Thu 5:56 PM
Active → Questionable+0.4 Yes
G Francis Mauigoa
Thu 5:56 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 Yes
CB Paulson Adebo
Thu 5:56 PM
Active → Questionable+0.3 No
CB Deonte Banks
Thu 5:56 PM
Active → Questionable+0.3 No
CB Paulson Adebo
Fri 4:47 PM
Questionable → IR+0.5 No
EDGE Darius Alexander
Mon 7:10 PM
Active → Out+1.0 No
CB Deonte Banks
Mon 7:10 PM
Questionable → Out+0.5 No

Los Angeles Rams

PlayerChangeWorthPlayed
LB Myles Garrett
Sun 11:31 AM
Active → Out+0.4 No
LB Omar Speights
Mon 12:40 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 Yes
LB Nate Landman
Mon 12:40 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 Yes
S Kam Curl
Mon 8:10 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 Yes
S Kamren Kinchens
Wed 2:00 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 No
LB Myles Garrett
Thu 2:53 PM
Out → IR0.0 No
WR Puka Nacua
Fri 6:29 PM
Active → Questionable+0.5 No
S Kamren Kinchens
Sat 2:57 PM
Questionable → Out+0.3 No
WR Puka Nacua
Mon 7:10 PM
Questionable → Out+0.8 No

Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.

Every Book · Rams side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−6.5 −110−2981.34 71.8%—Mon 8:10 PM
DraftKings−6.5 −115−2981.34 71.8%—Mon 8:10 PM
FanDuel−6.5 −115−3001.33 72.1%—Mon 8:10 PM
BetMGM−6.5 −108−2951.34 71.7%—Mon 8:10 PM
Caesars−6.5 −118−2901.34 71.7%—Mon 8:10 PM
Fanatics−6.5 −115−3001.33 71.8%—Mon 8:10 PM
BetRivers−7 −106−3151.32 72.1%—Mon 8:10 PM
BetOnline−6.5 −116−2951.34 71.8%—Mon 8:10 PM
Bovada−7 −105−3001.33 72.4%—Mon 8:10 PM
LowVig−7 +101−2951.34 71.8%—Mon 8:10 PM
MyBookie−7 −105−3151.32 72.9%—Mon 8:10 PM
BetUS−6.5 −110−2851.35 71.4%—Mon 8:10 PM

Best for NYG: BetRivers +7 (−115)Best for LA: BetMGM −6.5 (−108)

Closing prices: the last quote before kickoff. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Giants side is the mirror image.