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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Tuesday, September 22, 2026 Week 2 · Final Edition

Back issue · The Sharp Edition, Week 2 as it stood when the week closed.

Week 2 · Sunday, September 20, 4:25 PM ET · Final SEA 31, ARI 7

Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals

Cardinals +4 at our first look, +4 at kickoff. 11 injury reports on file.

Line Movement

What moved the Cardinals lineArizona Cardinals spread, consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi. Right = against Arizona.

+4 no movement since tracking began Mon 11:15 AM ET.

What moved the Cardinals moneylineArizona Cardinals chance to win (no-vig consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi). Right = toward Arizona.
34%35%Opening line33.8% (+196)Price-only move+187Closing line34.8% (+187)
34%35%Opening line33.8% (+196)Price-only move+187Closing line34.8% (+187)

Final: SEA 31, ARI 7. Cardinals lost at a 35% closing chance to win.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line33.8% (+196)
Price-only move34.8% (+187)
Closing line34.8% (+187)

Notes

FinalTue Sep 29, 12:18 AM · SEA

Seahawks Beat Cardinals 31–7 With Lock at Quarterback

Final: Seattle Seahawks 31, Arizona Cardinals 7. Drew Lock started at quarterback for Seattle in place of Sam Darnold and went 19/26 for 235 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. The closing line was Cardinals +4; Seattle covered by 20.

SEA since this note: −4 → −4 (no move) at kickoff

Injury Report

Seattle Seahawks

PlayerChangeWorthPlayed
S Ty Okada
Mon 11:40 AM
Out → Questionable−0.3 No
QB Sam Darnold
Wed 3:43 PM
Doubtful → Out+0.1 No
WR Cooper Kupp
Wed 8:49 PM
Active → Questionable+0.4 Yes
G Anthony Bradford
Wed 8:49 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 No
S Ty Okada
Fri 5:28 PM
Questionable → Out+0.3 No
G Anthony Bradford
Sat 5:00 PM
Questionable → Out+0.3 No

Arizona Cardinals

PlayerChangeWorthPlayed
G Isaiah Adams
Mon 11:19 AM
Out → Questionable−0.3 Yes
LB Cody Simon
Wed 8:28 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 Yes
DT Roy Lopez
Wed 8:28 PM
Active → Questionable+0.2 Yes
G Isaac Seumalo
Wed 8:28 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 Yes
LB Jack Gibbens
Wed 8:28 PM
Active → Questionable+0.1 Yes

Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.

Every Book · Cardinals side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus+4 −110+1752.75 34.8%—Sun 4:20 PM
DraftKings+3.5 +100+1802.80 34.3%—Sun 4:20 PM
FanDuel+4.5 −122+1762.76 34.8%—Sun 4:20 PM
BetMGM+4 −105+1852.85 33.8%—Sun 4:20 PM
Caesars+4 −112+1742.74 35.0%—Sun 4:20 PM
Fanatics+4 −110+1752.75 34.8%—Sun 4:20 PM
BetRivers+4 −109+1752.75 34.8%—Sun 4:20 PM
BetOnline+4 −113+1742.74 35.4%—Sun 4:20 PM
Bovada+4 −115+1752.75 34.9%—Sun 4:20 PM
LowVig+4 −108+1742.74 35.4%—Sun 4:20 PM
MyBookie+4 −110+1762.76 34.8%—Sun 4:20 PM
BetUS+4 −110+1752.75 35.1%—Sun 4:20 PM

Best for SEA: DraftKings −3.5 (−120)Best for ARI: FanDuel +4.5 (−122)

Closing prices: the last quote before kickoff. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Seahawks side is the mirror image.