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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 6 · Early Edition

College football · Week 6 · Saturday, October 10, 7:30 PM ET

2Georgia at 6Alabama

Alabama +2.5 at our first look, −1.5 now. SEC game.

Conditions · Bryant-Denny Stadium: Forecast 68°F, wind 12 mph (gusts 33), 33% chance of rain.

Line Movement

What moved the Alabama lineAlabama Crimson Tide spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Alabama.
−2−1PK+1+2+3Opening line+2.5Market move, no reported newsTue 1:55 PM+0.5Reaction to last week's gameSat 5:55 PM−4.5Line now−1.5
−2−1PK+1+2+3Opening line+2.5Market move, no reported newsTue 1:55 PM+0.5Reaction to last week's gameSat 5:55 PM−4.5Line now−1.5
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line+2.5
Market move, no reported newsTue Sep 1, 1:55 PM ET+0.5
Reaction to last week's gameSat Oct 3, 5:55 PM ET-4.5
Line now−1.5
What moved the Alabama moneylineAlabama Crimson Tide moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Alabama.
+138+127+117+108−100−108Opening line+130Market move, no reported newsTue 1:55 PM+139Reaction to last week's gameSat 5:55 PM−105Line now−105
+138+127+117+108−100−108Opening line+130Market move, no reported newsTue 1:55 PM+139Reaction to last week's gameSat 5:55 PM−105Line now−105
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line43.4% (+130)
Market move, no reported newsTue Sep 1, 1:55 PM ET41.9% (+139)
Reaction to last week's gameSat Oct 3, 5:55 PM ET51.3% (−105)
Line now51.2% (−105)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
50525456Opening line49Market move, no reported newsTue 1:55 PM+5.5Reaction to last week's gameSat 5:55 PM+1Line now55.5
50525456Opening line49Market move, no reported newsTue 1:55 PM+5.5Reaction to last week's gameSat 5:55 PM+1Line now55.5
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line49
Market move, no reported newsTue Sep 1, 1:55 PM ET+5.5
Reaction to last week's gameSat Oct 3, 5:55 PM ET+1
Line now55.5

Notes

MarketMon Oct 5, 1:29 AM · Alabama

Line moves 3.5 toward Alabama after last week's results

The consensus spread on Georgia at Alabama has moved from +2 to −1.5 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

Every Book · Alabama side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−1.5 −110−1161.86 51.2%55.5Mon 3:06 AM
DraftKings−1.5 −112−1151.87 51.1%55.5Mon 1:29 AM
FanDuel−1.5 −105−1141.88 51.0%55.5Mon 1:29 AM
BetMGM−1.5 −110−1181.85 51.7%55.5Mon 1:29 AM
Caesars−1.5 −106−1101.91 50.3%55.5Mon 1:29 AM
Fanatics−1.5 −110−1201.83 52.2%55.5Mon 1:29 AM
BetRivers+0.5 −114−1141.88 50.5%55.5Mon 1:29 AM
BetOnline−2 −110—— —55.5Mon 1:29 AM
Bovada−1.5 −110−1201.83 52.2%55.5Mon 1:29 AM
LowVig−2 −106—— —55.5Mon 1:29 AM
MyBookie— —−1171.85 51.4%—Mon 1:29 AM
BetUS−2 −110—— —55.5Mon 1:29 AM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.