Week 3 · Sunday, September 27, 1:00 PM ET · Final NE 6, JAX 35
New England Patriots at Jacksonville Jaguars
Jaguars −2.5 at our first look, −3 at kickoff. 13 injury reports on file.
Line Movement
Final: NE 6, JAX 35. Jaguars beat the closing number by 26.
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | −2.5 | |
| NE G Onwenu to injured reserve | Mon Sep 21, 11:55 AM ET | -0.5 |
| Closing line | −3 |
Final: NE 6, JAX 35. Jaguars won at a 59% closing chance to win.
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 54.7% (−121) | |
| NE G Onwenu to injured reserve | Mon Sep 21, 11:55 AM ET | 56.2% (−128) |
| Price-only move | 59.0% (−144) | |
| Closing line | 59.0% (−144) |
Notes
Jaguars Beat Patriots 35–6
Final: New England Patriots 6, Jacksonville Jaguars 35. The closing line was Jaguars −3; Jacksonville covered by 26.
JAX since this note: −3 → −3 (no move) at kickoff
Patriots rule out quarterback Morton at Jacksonville
New England listed quarterback Behren Morton as out and inactive for Sunday's game at Jacksonville. That removes a quarterback from the active game-day group. ESPN player news
NE since this note: +3 → +3 (no move) at kickoff
Ewers set as Jaguars' backup QB against New England
Quinn Ewers is active and will serve as Jacksonville's No. 2 quarterback for Sunday's home game with the Patriots. That settles the emergency option behind the starter. ESPN player news
JAX since this note: −3 → −3 (no move) at kickoff
Injury Report
New England Patriots
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| G Mike Onwenu Sun 2:05 PM |
Active → Doubtful | +0.4 | No |
| G Mike Onwenu Mon 11:59 AM |
Doubtful → Out | +0.0 | No |
| G Mike Onwenu Tue 4:36 PM |
Out → IR | 0.0 | No |
| CB Carlton Davis III Tue 5:16 PM |
Out → Questionable | −0.5 | Yes |
| RT Morgan Moses Wed 5:01 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.2 | Yes |
| S Craig Woodson Thu 8:51 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | No |
| LB Dre'Mont Jones Thu 9:11 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | No |
| LB Dre'Mont Jones Fri 5:13 PM |
Questionable → Out | +0.3 | No |
| S Craig Woodson Sun 11:59 AM |
Questionable → Out | +0.3 | No |
Jacksonville Jaguars
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| DT DaVon Hamilton Sun 7:13 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.2 | Yes |
| RT Cole Van Lanen Wed 5:01 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.2 | Yes |
| C Robert Hainsey Wed 5:01 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.3 | Yes |
| WR Jakobi Meyers Wed 5:01 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.3 | Yes |
Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.
Every Book · Jaguars side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | −3 | −105 | −159 | 1.63 | 59.0% | — | Sun 12:54 PM |
| Kalshi | — | — | −147 | 1.68 | 59.5% | — | Sun 12:54 PM |
| DraftKings | −3 | −105 | −162 | 1.62 | 59.3% | — | Sun 12:54 PM |
| FanDuel | −2.5 | −122 | −158 | 1.63 | 58.9% | — | Sun 12:54 PM |
| BetMGM | −3 | −108 | −160 | 1.62 | 59.1% | — | Sun 12:54 PM |
| Caesars | −3 | −105 | −159 | 1.63 | 59.0% | — | Sun 12:54 PM |
| Fanatics | −3 | −105 | −165 | 1.61 | 59.4% | — | Sun 12:54 PM |
| BetRivers | −3 | −109 | −157 | 1.64 | 58.6% | — | Sun 12:54 PM |
| BetOnline | −3 | −102 | −153 | 1.65 | 58.5% | — | Sun 12:54 PM |
| Bovada | −3 | −110 | −170 | 1.59 | 60.7% | — | Sun 12:54 PM |
| LowVig | −3 | −105 | −153 | 1.65 | 58.5% | — | Sun 12:54 PM |
| MyBookie | −3 | +100 | −160 | 1.62 | 59.2% | — | Sun 12:54 PM |
| BetUS | −3 | −105 | −155 | 1.65 | 58.7% | — | Sun 12:54 PM |
Best for NE: BetMGM +3 (−110)Best for JAX: FanDuel −2.5 (−122)
Closing prices: the last quote before kickoff. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Patriots side is the mirror image.