Week 4 · Sunday, October 4, 1:00 PM ET
Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants
Giants −2.5 at our first look, +2.5 now. 10 injury reports on file.
Line Movement
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | −2.5 | |
| NYG LB Burns to injured reserve | Sun Sep 27, 7:47 PM ET | +1.5 |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Sep 27, 9:51 PM ET | +2.5 |
| Giants Cutting Veteran Receiver Beckham | Tue Sep 29, 4:49 PM ET | +0.5 |
| NYG LT Thomas questionable | Wed Sep 30, 4:29 PM ET | +0.5 |
| Line now | +2.5 |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 55.9% (−127) | |
| NYG LB Burns to injured reserve | Sun Sep 27, 7:47 PM ET | 52.6% (−111) |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Sep 27, 9:51 PM ET | 48.0% (+108) |
| Giants Cutting Veteran Receiver Beckham | Tue Sep 29, 4:49 PM ET | 47.0% (+113) |
| NYG LT Thomas questionable | Wed Sep 30, 4:29 PM ET | 45.7% (+119) |
| Price-only move | 43.7% (+129) | |
| Line now | 43.7% (+129) |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 44.5 | |
| Market move, no reported news | Thu Oct 1, 1:42 PM ET | -0.5 |
| Line now | 44 |
Notes
Line moves 1.5 toward the Cardinals ahead of the news
The consensus spread on Cardinals at Giants has moved from +1 to +2.5 (home side), with 8 of 11 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). The market started moving 0h 20m before the report: Brian Burns (LB) Out to IR.
NYG since this note: +1.5 → +2.5 (+1.0)
Giants Cutting Veteran Receiver Beckham
New York is releasing wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr., according to reports. The move removes a veteran from the receiving rotation ahead of Sunday's home game with Arizona. ESPN
NYG since this note: +1 → +2.5 (+1.5)
Rain Chance for Cardinals at Giants
The forecast for kickoff at MetLife Stadium calls for a 51% chance of rain. Forecasts change; this note updates as the game gets closer.
Giants Confirm Winston Stays Starting Quarterback After McCarthy Trade
The Giants' head coach said Jameis Winston remains the starting quarterback despite the trade for J.J. McCarthy. That settles the quarterback question for the upcoming game against Arizona. ESPN player news
NYG since this note: +1 → +2.5 (+1.5)
McCarthy dealt to New York as Giants add quarterback
Quarterback J.J. McCarthy has been traded from Minnesota to the Giants, per commentary on the move. The change affects the quarterback depth chart for both clubs ahead of Week 4. ESPN
NYG since this note: +1 → +2.5 (+1.5)
Line moves 1.5 toward the Cardinals after last week's results
The consensus spread on Cardinals at Giants has moved from −0.5 to +1 (home side), with 6 of 10 books moving the same way. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
NYG since this note: −1 → +2.5 (+3.5)
Line moves 2.25 toward the Cardinals after last week's results
The consensus spread on Cardinals at Giants has moved from −1.25 to +1 (home side), with 8 of 10 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
NYG since this note: −1 → +2.5 (+3.5)
Injury Report
Arizona Cardinals
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| LB Mack Wilson Sr. Wed 8:36 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | — |
| DT Roy Lopez Wed 8:36 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | — |
| DT Walter Nolen III Wed 8:36 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.3 | — |
| C Hjalte Froholdt Wed 8:36 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.3 | — |
New York Giants
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| LB Brian Burns Sun 4:03 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.2 | — |
| LB Brian Burns Mon 4:07 PM |
Questionable → Out | +0.4 | — |
| S Tyler Nubin Tue 1:06 PM |
Out → Questionable | −0.5 | — |
| CB Deonte Banks Tue 1:06 PM |
Out → Questionable | −0.3 | — |
| LB Brian Burns Tue 5:09 PM |
Out → IR | 0.0 | — |
| LT Andrew Thomas Wed 4:32 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.6 | — |
Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.
Every Book · Giants side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | +2.5 | −108 | +120 | 2.20 | 43.7% | 44 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| Kalshi | +2.5 | — | — | — | — | 44 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| DraftKings | +2.5 | −108 | +120 | 2.20 | 43.7% | 44.5 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| FanDuel | +2.5 | −110 | +116 | 2.16 | 44.5% | 43.5 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| BetMGM | +2.5 | −108 | +120 | 2.20 | 43.4% | 44.5 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| Caesars | +2.5 | −109 | +116 | 2.16 | 44.5% | 44.5 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| Fanatics | +2.5 | −105 | +120 | 2.20 | 43.4% | 44 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| BetRivers | +2.5 | −108 | +112 | 2.12 | 45.0% | 44.5 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| BetOnline | +1 | +108 | +121 | 2.21 | 43.6% | 44 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| Bovada | +2.5 | −105 | +120 | 2.20 | 43.8% | 44 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| LowVig | +2.5 | +100 | +121 | 2.21 | 43.6% | 44 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| MyBookie | +2.5 | −110 | +115 | 2.15 | 44.3% | 44.5 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| BetUS | +2 | +100 | +121 | 2.21 | 43.6% | 44 | Thu 3:15 PM |
Best for ARI: FanDuel −2.5 (−110)Best for NYG: Fanatics +2.5 (−105)
Latest quotes. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Cardinals side is the mirror image.