Week 4 · Sunday, October 4, 4:05 PM ET
Miami Dolphins at Minnesota Vikings
Vikings −10.5 at our first look, −10.5 now. 9 injury reports on file.
Line Movement
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | −10.5 | |
| MIN CB Demmings ruled out | Sun Sep 27, 7:37 PM ET | +0.5 |
| MIA RB Achane to injured reserve | Mon Sep 28, 4:29 PM ET | -1 |
| MIA RB Wright upgraded | Tue Sep 29, 11:25 PM ET | +0.5 |
| Line now | −10.5 |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 82.4% (−468) | |
| MIN CB Demmings ruled out | Sun Sep 27, 7:37 PM ET | 81.9% (−452) |
| MIA RB Achane to injured reserve | Mon Sep 28, 4:29 PM ET | 83.2% (−495) |
| MIA RB Wright upgraded | Tue Sep 29, 11:25 PM ET | 82.4% (−468) |
| Line now | 82.7% (−478) |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 38.5 | |
| Market move, no reported news | Thu Oct 1, 2:13 PM ET | +0.5 |
| Line now | 39 |
Notes
Vikings promote QB Brosmer from practice squad
Minnesota is signing quarterback Max Brosmer to the active roster off the practice squad. The move adds quarterback depth with the Vikings juggling injuries at the position ahead of Sunday's game against Miami. ESPN player news
MIN since this note: −11 → −10.5 (+0.5)
Jefferson's ankle sprain leaves door open for Sunday vs. Dolphins
An MRI on Monday showed Justin Jefferson has a sprained ankle, and there is a chance he suits up against Miami in Week 4. His availability would significantly shape Minnesota's passing game and the market for the matchup. ESPN
MIN since this note: −11 → −10.5 (+0.5)
Dolphins lose Achane for season with torn ACL
Miami running back De'Von Achane tore an ACL in Sunday's loss to Kansas City and is done for the season, according to reports. The Dolphins will need a new lead back at Minnesota, removing their top offensive weapon from the game plan. ESPN
MIA since this note: +10.5 → +10.5 (no move)
Murray clears concussion protocol, starts and wins at Tampa Bay
Kyler Murray was active and started for Minnesota on Sunday after a concussion, throwing for 168 yards with a touchdown and an interception in a win at Tampa Bay. His return puts him in line to remain the starter against Miami. ESPN player news
MIN since this note: −10 → −10.5 (−0.5)
Injury Report
Miami Dolphins
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB De'Von Achane Sun 1:41 PM |
Active → Doubtful | +0.4 | — |
| RB De'Von Achane Mon 11:01 AM |
Doubtful → Out | +0.0 | — |
| RB De'Von Achane Mon 4:27 PM |
Out → IR | 0.0 | — |
| RB Jaylen Wright Tue 1:06 PM |
Out → Questionable | −0.1 | — |
| WR Chris Bell Wed 5:54 PM |
Active → Questionable | 0.0 | — |
Minnesota Vikings
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| WR Justin Jefferson Sun 5:04 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.3 | — |
| CB Charles Demmings Sun 6:46 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.3 | — |
| CB Charles Demmings Mon 5:28 PM |
Questionable → Out | +0.1 | — |
| LB Blake Cashman Wed 6:34 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.2 | — |
Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.
Every Book · Vikings side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | −10.5 | −110 | −615 | 1.16 | 82.7% | 39 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| Kalshi | −10 | — | — | — | — | 39 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| DraftKings | −10.5 | −108 | −600 | 1.17 | 82.2% | 38.5 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| FanDuel | −10.5 | −115 | −650 | 1.15 | 83.4% | 38.5 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| BetMGM | −10.5 | −110 | −625 | 1.16 | 83.2% | 39 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| Caesars | −10.5 | −110 | −625 | 1.16 | 82.6% | 38.5 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| Fanatics | −10.5 | −110 | −600 | 1.17 | 82.0% | 39 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| BetRivers | −10.5 | −109 | −625 | 1.16 | 82.6% | 39.5 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| BetOnline | −10.5 | −110 | −615 | 1.16 | 82.7% | 38.5 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| Bovada | −10.5 | −105 | −600 | 1.17 | 81.8% | 39 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| LowVig | −10.5 | −105 | −615 | 1.16 | 82.7% | 38.5 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| MyBookie | −10.5 | −110 | −725 | 1.14 | 82.9% | 39 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| BetUS | −10.5 | −110 | −615 | 1.16 | 82.8% | 39 | Thu 3:15 PM |
Best for MIA: FanDuel +10.5 (−105)Best for MIN: DraftKings −10.5 (−108)
Latest quotes. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Dolphins side is the mirror image.