Week 4 · Sunday, October 4, 1:00 PM ET
New York Jets at Chicago Bears
Bears −3.5 at our first look, −3.5 now. 15 injury reports on file.
Line Movement
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | −3.5 | |
| NYJ RB Hall doubtful | Mon Sep 28, 11:44 PM ET | -0.5 |
| CHI QB Williams doubtful | Tue Sep 29, 11:09 AM ET | +0.5 |
| Line now | −3.5 |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 61.7% (−161) | |
| NYJ RB Hall doubtful | Mon Sep 28, 11:44 PM ET | 66.7% (−200) |
| CHI QB Williams doubtful | Tue Sep 29, 11:09 AM ET | 61.7% (−161) |
| Line now | 61.6% (−160) |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 42.5 | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Tue Sep 29, 2:19 AM ET | +1 |
| CHI QB Williams doubtful | Tue Sep 29, 8:02 AM ET | -0.5 |
| Line now | 43 |
Notes
Bears coach keeps Week 4 quarterback choice private
Chicago's head coach said the team has settled internally on who will start at quarterback against the Jets but declined to announce it. The uncertainty among Caleb Williams, Tyson Bagent and Case Keenum leaves the Bears' Week 4 offense unsettled publicly. ESPN
CHI since this note: −3.5 → −3.5 (no move)
Wind in the Forecast for Jets at Bears
The forecast for kickoff at Soldier Field calls for wind 12 mph, gusting 17. Forecasts change; this note updates as the game gets closer.
Jets' Breece Hall week-to-week with quad injury
Jets running back Breece Hall hurt his quad in Sunday's loss to Detroit and is considered week-to-week, per reports. That timeline puts his availability at Chicago in week 4 in doubt and would shift carries to New York's backup backs. ESPN
NYJ since this note: +3 → +3.5 (+0.5)
Bears expect backup QB Bagent back this week
Chicago anticipates quarterback Tyson Bagent returning from injury this week. That restores depth behind the starter ahead of Sunday's game against the Jets. ESPN
CHI since this note: −3 → −3.5 (−0.5)
Injury Report
New York Jets
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| G Dylan Parham Sun 3:22 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | — |
| RB Breece Hall Sun 3:43 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | — |
| TE Mason Taylor Tue 1:06 PM |
Out → Questionable | −0.1 | — |
| LB Kiko Mauigoa Tue 1:06 PM |
Out → Questionable | −0.0 | — |
| WR Adonai Mitchell Tue 1:06 PM |
Out → Questionable | −0.3 | — |
| S Minkah Fitzpatrick Tue 1:06 PM |
Out → Questionable | −0.4 | — |
| WR Adonai Mitchell Wed 12:30 PM |
Questionable → Doubtful | +0.3 | — |
| RB Breece Hall Wed 12:30 PM |
Questionable → Doubtful | +0.3 | — |
| G Dylan Parham Wed 12:50 PM |
Questionable → Doubtful | +0.3 | — |
| TE Mason Taylor Wed 12:50 PM |
Questionable → Doubtful | +0.1 | — |
| TE Kenyon Sadiq Wed 1:10 PM |
Active → Questionable | 0.0 | — |
| EDGE Kingsley Enagbare Wed 8:16 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.3 | — |
Chicago Bears
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| LT Braxton Jones Mon 10:34 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.0 | — |
| QB Caleb Williams Tue 1:06 PM |
Out → Doubtful | −0.2 | — |
| LT Braxton Jones Wed 3:52 PM |
Questionable → Doubtful | +0.1 | — |
Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.
Every Book · Bears side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | −3.5 | −105 | −180 | 1.56 | 61.6% | 43 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| Kalshi | −3 | — | — | — | — | 43 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| DraftKings | −3.5 | −105 | −175 | 1.57 | 60.9% | 43.5 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| FanDuel | −3.5 | −102 | −176 | 1.57 | 61.3% | 42.5 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| BetMGM | −3.5 | −102 | −175 | 1.57 | 60.9% | 43 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| Caesars | −3.5 | −103 | −176 | 1.57 | 61.4% | 42.5 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| Fanatics | −3.5 | +100 | −180 | 1.56 | 61.6% | 43 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| BetRivers | −3 | −117 | −175 | 1.57 | 60.4% | 43 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| BetOnline | −3 | −122 | −180 | 1.56 | 62.3% | 43 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| Bovada | −3.5 | −105 | −180 | 1.56 | 62.1% | 43 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| LowVig | −3 | −120 | −180 | 1.56 | 62.3% | 43 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| MyBookie | −3 | −120 | −183 | 1.55 | 61.6% | 43 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| BetUS | −3 | −120 | −180 | 1.56 | 62.1% | 43 | Thu 3:15 PM |
Best for NYJ: DraftKings +3.5 (−115)Best for CHI: BetRivers −3 (−117)
Latest quotes. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Jets side is the mirror image.