Week 4 · Thursday, October 1, 8:15 PM ET
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns
Browns +3 at our first look, +2.5 now. 9 injury reports on file.
Line Movement
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | +3 | |
| Market move, no reported news | Wed Sep 23, 6:25 PM ET | -0.5 |
| PIT CB Porter Jr. upgraded | Wed Sep 30, 10:47 AM ET | +0.5 |
| Steelers Trade CB Joey Porter Jr. to the Cowboys | Thu Oct 1, 11:07 AM ET | -0.5 |
| Line now | +2.5 |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 44.0% (+127) | |
| Market move, no reported news | Wed Sep 23, 6:25 PM ET | 45.5% (+120) |
| PIT CB Porter Jr. upgraded | Wed Sep 30, 10:47 AM ET | 44.0% (+127) |
| Steelers Trade CB Joey Porter Jr. to the Cowboys | Thu Oct 1, 11:07 AM ET | 45.5% (+120) |
| Less than the spread implies | 42.5% (+135) | |
| Line now | 42.5% (+135) |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 38.5 | |
| Wind in the Forecast | Thu Oct 1, 10:36 AM ET | -0.5 |
| Market move, no reported news | Thu Oct 1, 1:12 PM ET | -0.5 |
| Line now | 37.5 |
Notes
Steelers Trade CB Joey Porter Jr. to the Cowboys
The Pittsburgh Steelers have agreed to trade starting CB Joey Porter Jr. to the Dallas Cowboys, ESPN reports. Porter Jr. comes off the Steelers depth chart before their Week 4 game at the Browns. He had already been ruled out of that game, so this week's line had his absence in it before the trade; the move matters for the weeks after. ESPN
PIT since this note: −3 → −2.5 (+0.5)
Wind in the Forecast for Steelers at Browns
The forecast for kickoff at Huntington Bank Field calls for wind 12 mph, gusting 23. Forecasts change; this note updates as the game gets closer.
Total since this forecast: 38.5 → 37.5 (−1.0)
Watson starts and wins for Browns, sets up Pittsburgh matchup
Deshaun Watson was active and played quarterback in Cleveland's 21-18 victory over Carolina, passing for 144 yards with two touchdowns and adding 45 rushing yards. That establishes him as the Browns' starter heading into the Thursday night game against Pittsburgh. ESPN player news
CLE since this note: +2.5 → +2.5 (no move)
Injury Report
Pittsburgh Steelers
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| CB Joey Porter Jr. Mon 7:50 PM |
Out → Returning | −1.0 | — |
| CB Joey Porter Jr. Wed 3:32 PM |
Active → Out | +1.0 | — |
Cleveland Browns
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| RT Tytus Howard Mon 6:49 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.3 | — |
| S Grant Delpit Mon 6:49 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.4 | — |
| C Elgton Jenkins Mon 6:49 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.3 | — |
| G Teven Jenkins Tue 1:06 PM |
Out → Questionable | −0.1 | — |
| CB Tyson Campbell Tue 1:06 PM |
Out → Questionable | −0.6 | — |
| C Elgton Jenkins Wed 3:52 PM |
Questionable → Out | +0.4 | — |
| G Teven Jenkins Wed 3:52 PM |
Questionable → Out | +0.1 | — |
Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.
Every Book · Browns side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | +2.5 | −105 | +126 | 2.26 | 42.5% | 37.5 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| Kalshi | +3 | — | — | — | — | 38 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| DraftKings | +2.5 | +100 | +124 | 2.24 | 42.8% | 38.5 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| FanDuel | +2.5 | −102 | +120 | 2.20 | 43.7% | 37.5 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| BetMGM | +3 | −110 | +125 | 2.25 | 42.6% | 38 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| Caesars | +3 | −120 | +127 | 2.27 | 42.3% | 37.5 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| Fanatics | +2.5 | +100 | +125 | 2.25 | 42.6% | 38 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| BetRivers | +2.5 | −105 | +115 | 2.15 | 44.1% | 38 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| BetOnline | +3 | −120 | +131 | 2.31 | 41.8% | 37.5 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| Bovada | +3 | −120 | +130 | 2.30 | 42.0% | 37.5 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| LowVig | +2.5 | +105 | +131 | 2.31 | 41.8% | 37.5 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| MyBookie | +2.5 | +100 | +126 | 2.26 | 42.5% | 37.5 | Thu 3:15 PM |
| BetUS | +3 | −120 | +129 | 2.29 | 42.1% | 37.5 | Thu 3:15 PM |
Best for PIT: BetRivers −2.5 (−117)Best for CLE: BetMGM +3 (−110)
Latest quotes. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Steelers side is the mirror image.