Week 5 · Sunday, October 11, 1:00 PM ET
Cincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins
Dolphins +8.5 at our first look, +7 now. 1 injury report on file.
Conditions · Hard Rock Stadium: Forecast 90°F, wind 13 mph, 19% chance of rain.
The read so far
News: Bengals −0.2 · Dolphins 0.0. Market: moved 1.5 toward the Dolphins.
Cincinnati Bengals −0.2
| WR Tee Higgins Active → Questionable |
Questionable | −0.2 |
Miami Dolphins 0.0
No news that moves the number.
Each player counted once: his whole week, first status to last, in points from his team's side (−0.9 costs his team 0.9). A unit missing two or three starters counts extra. After the inactive list, a questionable starter who isn't on it is playing.
Line Movement
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | +8.5 | |
| Higgins Exits With Adductor Injury, Status Murky For Miami | Sun Oct 4, 6:26 PM ET | -1 |
| Reaction to last week's game | Mon Oct 5, 8:39 AM ET | -0.5 |
| Line now | +7 |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 18.8% (+432) | |
| Higgins Exits With Adductor Injury, Status Murky For Miami | Sun Oct 4, 6:26 PM ET | 21.7% (+361) |
| Reaction to last week's game | Mon Oct 5, 8:39 AM ET | 23.3% (+329) |
| Price-only move | 24.1% (+315) | |
| Line now | 24.1% (+315) |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 46.5 | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 4, 8:41 PM ET | -4 |
| Line now | 42.5 |
Notes
Dolphins cut running back Carlos Washington Jr.
Miami waived running back Carlos Washington Jr., removing a depth back from the roster ahead of Sunday's home game with Cincinnati. The move is minor unless injuries thin the backfield. Miami Dolphins (team site)
MIA since this note: +7 → +7 (no move)
Total drops 3 for Bengals at Dolphins after last week's results
The consensus total on Bengals at Dolphins has moved from 45.5 to 42.5, with 4 of 4 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
MIA since this note: +7.5 → +7 (−0.5)
Line moves 1.5 toward the Dolphins with no reported news
The consensus spread on Bengals at Dolphins has moved from +8.5 to +7 (home side). Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.
MIA since this note: +7.5 → +7 (−0.5)
Total drops 4 for Bengals at Dolphins with no reported news
The consensus total on Bengals at Dolphins has moved from 46.5 to 42.5. Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.
MIA since this note: +7.5 → +7 (−0.5)
Higgins Exits With Adductor Injury, Status Murky For Miami
Tee Higgins left Sunday's loss to Jacksonville late in the fourth quarter with an adductor injury after a big receiving day. His availability for the Bengals' trip to Miami is now in question. ProFootballTalk
CIN since this note: −8.5 → −7 (+1.5)
Wind in the Forecast for Bengals at Dolphins
The forecast for kickoff at Hard Rock Stadium calls for wind 13 mph, gusting 14. Forecasts change; this note updates as the game gets closer.
Total since this forecast: 46.5 → 42.5 (−4.0)
Line moves 1.5 toward the Dolphins ahead of the news
The consensus spread on Bengals at Dolphins has moved from +9 to +7.5 (home side), with 7 of 7 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). The market started moving 8h 32m before the report: Bryan Cook (S) Questionable to Out.
MIA since this note: +8.5 → +7 (−1.5)
Line moves 1.5 toward the Dolphins ahead of the news
The consensus spread on Bengals at Dolphins has moved from +9 to +7.5 (home side), with 7 of 7 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). The market started moving 10h 38m before the report: Bryan Cook (S) Questionable to Out.
MIA since this note: +8.5 → +7 (−1.5)
Injury Report
Cincinnati Bengals
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| WR Tee Higgins Mon 3:38 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.2 | — |
Miami Dolphins
Nothing on the report.
Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.
Every Book · Dolphins side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | +7 | −110 | +295 | 3.95 | 24.1% | 42.5 | Mon 7:03 PM |
| Kalshi | +7 | — | +326 | 4.26 | 23.5% | 42.5 | Mon 7:03 PM |
| DraftKings | +7 | −108 | +275 | 3.75 | 25.6% | 42.5 | Mon 7:03 PM |
| FanDuel | +7.5 | −118 | +295 | 3.95 | 24.3% | 42.5 | Mon 7:03 PM |
| BetMGM | +7.5 | −120 | +290 | 3.90 | 24.5% | 42.5 | Mon 7:03 PM |
| Caesars | +7 | −105 | +305 | 4.05 | 23.7% | 42.5 | Mon 7:03 PM |
| Fanatics | +7.5 | −115 | +290 | 3.90 | 24.5% | 42.5 | Mon 7:03 PM |
| BetRivers | +7.5 | −112 | +305 | 4.05 | 23.6% | 42.5 | Mon 7:03 PM |
| BetOnline | +7 | −107 | +303 | 4.03 | 23.9% | 42 | Mon 7:03 PM |
| Bovada | +7 | −110 | +280 | 3.80 | 25.2% | 42 | Mon 7:03 PM |
| LowVig | +7 | −102 | +303 | 4.03 | 23.9% | 42 | Mon 7:03 PM |
| MyBookie | +7 | −110 | +270 | 3.70 | 25.6% | 42.5 | Mon 7:03 PM |
| BetUS | +7 | −105 | +305 | 4.05 | 23.8% | 42 | Mon 7:03 PM |
Best for CIN: DraftKings −7 (−112)Best for MIA: BetRivers +7.5 (−112)
Latest quotes. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Bengals side is the mirror image.