Week 5 · Sunday, October 11, 1:00 PM ET
New York Giants at Washington Commanders
Commanders −2.5 at our first look, −3.5 now. 1 injury report on file.
Conditions · Northwest Stadium: Forecast 69°F, wind 8 mph (gusts 19), 14% chance of rain.
The read so far
News: Giants −0.1 · Commanders 0.0. Market: moved 1 toward the Commanders.
New York Giants −0.1
| EDGE Chauncey Golston Active → Questionable |
Questionable | −0.1 |
Washington Commanders 0.0
No news that moves the number.
Each player counted once: his whole week, first status to last, in points from his team's side (−0.9 costs his team 0.9). A unit missing two or three starters counts extra. After the inactive list, a questionable starter who isn't on it is playing.
Line Movement
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | −2.5 | |
| Daniels aiming to return at QB for Commanders against Giants | Sun Oct 4, 6:26 PM ET | -1 |
| Line now | −3.5 |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 56.3% (−129) | |
| Daniels aiming to return at QB for Commanders against Giants | Sun Oct 4, 6:26 PM ET | 62.8% (−169) |
| Less than the spread implies | 61.7% (−161) | |
| Line now | 61.7% (−161) |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 43.5 | |
| NYG EDGE Golston questionable | Sun Oct 4, 6:26 PM ET | +0.5 |
| Line now | 44 |
Notes
Line moves 1 toward the Commanders after last week's results
The consensus spread on Giants at Commanders has moved from −2.5 to −3.5 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
WAS since this note: −3.5 → −3.5 (no move)
Daniels aiming to return at QB for Commanders against Giants
Jayden Daniels is set to practice fully this week as he recovers from an elbow injury and is targeting a return for Week 5 against the Giants. That would put Washington's starting quarterback back after backup duty was needed in London. ESPN player news
WAS since this note: −2.5 → −3.5 (−1.0)
Wind in the Forecast for Giants at Commanders
The forecast for kickoff at Northwest Stadium calls for wind 9 mph, gusting 27. Forecasts change; this note updates as the game gets closer.
Total since this forecast: 43.5 → 44 (+0.5)
Mariota faces tests on aggravated MCL sprain
Mariota will undergo further testing after aggravating the right MCL sprain he first suffered in the preseason, which knocked him out of the London game. That puts his availability for Washington's next game in doubt with Jayden Daniels already sidelined. ESPN player news
WAS since this note: −2.5 → −3.5 (−1.0)
Injury Report
New York Giants
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| EDGE Chauncey Golston Sun 3:26 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.1 | — |
Washington Commanders
Nothing on the report.
Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.
Every Book · Commanders side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | −3.5 | −108 | −176 | 1.57 | 61.7% | 44 | Mon 2:55 AM |
| Kalshi | −3.5 | — | −167 | 1.60 | 62.5% | 44 | Mon 2:55 AM |
| DraftKings | −3 | −115 | −170 | 1.59 | 60.4% | 43.5 | Mon 2:55 AM |
| FanDuel | −3.5 | −106 | −180 | 1.56 | 61.8% | 44.5 | Mon 2:55 AM |
| BetMGM | −3.5 | −102 | −175 | 1.57 | 60.9% | 44 | Mon 2:55 AM |
| Caesars | −3.5 | −105 | −176 | 1.57 | 61.2% | 43.5 | Mon 2:55 AM |
| BetRivers | −3.5 | −106 | −190 | 1.53 | 62.6% | 44 | Mon 2:55 AM |
| BetOnline | −3 | −120 | −175 | 1.57 | 61.7% | 44 | Mon 2:55 AM |
| Bovada | −3.5 | +100 | −180 | 1.56 | 62.1% | 43.5 | Mon 2:55 AM |
| LowVig | −3 | −116 | −175 | 1.57 | 61.7% | 44 | Mon 2:55 AM |
| MyBookie | −3.5 | −110 | — | — | — | 43.5 | Mon 2:55 AM |
| BetUS | −3 | −120 | — | — | — | 43.5 | Mon 2:55 AM |
Best for NYG: FanDuel +3.5 (−114)Best for WAS: DraftKings −3 (−115)
Latest quotes. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Giants side is the mirror image.