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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Thursday, October 1, 2026 Week 4

Seattle Seahawks · QB

Sam Darnold

Valued at 1.0 points a game over Drew Lock (current-form EPA vs backup). Played 1 of 2 games he was listed for.

The File

NewsGameChangeWorthLine then → close/nowPriced in?PlayedSource
Tue Sep 22, 5:16 PM W3 vs WAS Out → Questionable−0.6 −7 → −8.5 Moved past our number Yes ESPN
Wed Sep 16, 3:43 PM W2 vs ARI Doubtful → Out+0.1 −4 → −4 — No ESPN

Statuses as reported by the team and ESPN. Lines are the team's consensus spread before the news and at kickoff (or now, for games not yet played).