Week 3 · Sunday, September 27, 4:05 PM ET · Final ARI 30, SF 36
Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers
49ers −8.5 at our first look, −7.5 at kickoff. 13 injury reports on file.
Line Movement
Final: ARI 30, SF 36. 49ers missed the closing number by 1.5.
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | −8.5 | |
| SF WR Robinson to injured reserve | Sat Sep 26, 8:28 PM ET | +1 |
| Closing line | −7.5 |
Final: ARI 30, SF 36. 49ers won at a 76% closing chance to win.
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 79.5% (−388) | |
| SF WR Robinson to injured reserve | Sat Sep 26, 8:28 PM ET | 76.6% (−327) |
| Price-only move | 76.1% (−318) | |
| Closing line | 76.1% (−318) |
Notes
49ers Beat Cardinals 36–30
Final: Arizona Cardinals 30, San Francisco 49ers 36. The closing line was 49ers −7.5; Arizona covered by 1.5. The market moved San Francisco 1 points over Nick Bosa's absence (−8.5 to −7.5); 49ers fell short of it by 1.5.
SF since this note: −7.5 → −7.5 (no move) at kickoff
Injury Report
Arizona Cardinals
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| CB Will Johnson Sun 7:33 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.3 | No |
| CB Will Johnson Mon 6:08 PM |
Questionable → Doubtful | +0.4 | No |
| CB Will Johnson Tue 10:27 AM |
Doubtful → Out | +0.0 | No |
| CB Will Johnson Wed 1:18 PM |
Out → IR | 0.0 | No |
| C Hjalte Froholdt Wed 8:25 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.3 | Yes |
| DT Roy Lopez Wed 8:25 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.2 | Yes |
San Francisco 49ers
| Player | Change | Worth | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| WR Demarcus Robinson Sun 5:51 PM |
Active → Doubtful | +0.5 | No |
| WR Demarcus Robinson Mon 4:47 PM |
Doubtful → Out | +0.0 | No |
| WR Mike Evans Mon 4:47 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.4 | Yes |
| EDGE Nick Bosa Thu 7:50 PM |
Active → Questionable | +0.4 | No |
| EDGE Nick Bosa Fri 11:48 AM |
Questionable → Doubtful | +0.6 | No |
| EDGE Nick Bosa Fri 5:54 PM |
Doubtful → Out | +0.0 | No |
| WR Demarcus Robinson Sat 5:21 PM |
Out → IR | 0.0 | No |
Worth = points against the team from that change in his chance of playing, on our valuation of him over his backup.
Every Book · 49ers side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | −7.5 | −109 | −380 | 1.26 | 76.1% | — | Sun 4:00 PM |
| Kalshi | — | — | −344 | 1.29 | 77.5% | — | Sun 4:00 PM |
| DraftKings | −7.5 | −110 | −410 | 1.24 | 77.2% | — | Sun 4:00 PM |
| FanDuel | −7.5 | −106 | −400 | 1.25 | 76.9% | — | Sun 4:00 PM |
| BetMGM | −7.5 | −105 | −375 | 1.27 | 75.9% | — | Sun 4:00 PM |
| Caesars | −7.5 | −109 | −380 | 1.26 | 76.0% | — | Sun 4:00 PM |
| Fanatics | −7.5 | −110 | −375 | 1.27 | 75.5% | — | Sun 4:00 PM |
| BetRivers | −7.5 | −109 | −420 | 1.24 | 77.2% | — | Sun 4:00 PM |
| BetOnline | −7.5 | −107 | −380 | 1.26 | 76.1% | — | Sun 4:00 PM |
| Bovada | −7.5 | −110 | −380 | 1.26 | 75.5% | — | Sun 4:00 PM |
| LowVig | −7.5 | −108 | −380 | 1.26 | 76.1% | — | Sun 4:00 PM |
| MyBookie | −7.5 | −110 | −374 | 1.27 | 75.8% | — | Sun 4:00 PM |
| BetUS | −7.5 | −105 | −380 | 1.26 | 76.2% | — | Sun 4:00 PM |
Best for ARI: BetMGM +7.5 (−105)Best for SF: BetMGM −7.5 (−105)
Closing prices: the last quote before kickoff. Kalshi's percentage is its contract price; its odds are that price with no margin. The Cardinals side is the mirror image.