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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Tuesday, September 29, 2026 Week 3 · Final Edition

Back issue · The Sharp Edition, Week 3 as it stood when the week closed.

Final Chicago Bears · Week 3

Bears Beat Eagles 27–7 With Keenum at Quarterback

What moved the Bears lineChicago Bears spread, consensus of U.S. books and Kalshi. Right = against Chicago.
−2PK+2+4Opening line−1.5CHI QB Williams ruled outMon 1:00 PM+5CHI QB Bagent questionableTue 3:35 PM+1CHI CB Stevenson questionableFri 6:00 PM+0.5Bagent clears concussion protocol,set to practice SaturdaySat 1:13 PM−1.5Williams out vs. Eagles, hamstringstrain seen as 3-to-4-week issueSun 1:46 PM+0.5Keenum in line to start for Bearsagainst EaglesMon 12:26 AM · possibly−0.5Closing line+3.5
−2PK+2+4Opening line−1.5CHI QB Williams ruled outMon 1:00 PM+5CHI QB Bagent questionableTue 3:35 PM+1CHI CB Stevenson questionableFri 6:00 PM+0.5Bagent clears concussion protocol, set topractice SaturdaySat 1:13 PM−1.5Williams out vs. Eagles, hamstring strain seenas 3-to-4-week issueSun 1:46 PM+0.5Keenum in line to start for Bears againstEaglesMon 12:26 AM · possibly−0.5Closing line+3.5

Final: PHI 7, CHI 27. Bears beat the closing number by 23.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−1.5
CHI QB Williams ruled outMon Sep 21, 1:00 PM ET+5
CHI QB Bagent questionableTue Sep 22, 3:35 PM ET+1
CHI CB Stevenson questionableFri Sep 25, 6:00 PM ET+0.5
Bagent clears concussion protocol, set to practice SaturdaySat Sep 26, 1:13 PM ET-1.5
Williams out vs. Eagles, hamstring strain seen as 3-to-4-week issueSun Sep 27, 1:46 PM ET+0.5
Keenum in line to start for Bears against EaglesMon Sep 28, 12:26 AM ET-0.5
Closing line+3.5

Final: Philadelphia Eagles 7, Chicago Bears 27. Case Keenum started at quarterback for Chicago in place of Caleb Williams and went 24/34 for 247 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. Chicago won outright as the underdog; the closing line was Bears +3.5. The market moved Chicago 5 points over Caleb Williams's absence (−1.5 to +3.5); Bears beat that closing number by 23.5.

The game file

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The Wire

FinalMon 11:35 PM · CHI vs PHI

Bears Beat Eagles 27–7 With Keenum at Quarterback

Final: Philadelphia Eagles 7, Chicago Bears 27. Case Keenum started at quarterback for Chicago in place of Caleb Williams and went 24/34 for 247 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. Chicago won outright as the underdog; the closing line was Bears +3.5. The market moved Chicago 5 points over Caleb Williams's absence (−1.5 to +3.5); Bears beat that closing number by 23.5.

CHI since this note: +3.5 → +3.5 (no move) at kickoff

InjuryMon 10:34 PM · CHI vs NYJ

Bears Left Tackle Braxton Jones Listed Questionable

Little change to his value. Line −3 → −3.5.

InjuryMon 9:59 PM · PHI vs LA

Greenard back from pectoral injury, debuts for Eagles

Edge rusher Jonathan Greenard played his first game for Philadelphia on Monday night after missing time with a pectoral injury. His return strengthens the Eagles' pass rush heading into Sunday's game against the Rams. ESPN

PHI since this note: +2.5 → +2.5 (no move)

InjuryMon 9:53 PM · PHI vs CHI

Hurts cleared after concussion check, returns at Chicago

Jalen Hurts left the game in Chicago to be checked for a concussion but passed evaluation and was cleared to return. With backup Sam Howell-less depth thinned, his return keeps Philadelphia's offense intact for the rest of the game. ESPN player news

PHI since this note: −3.5 → −3.5 (no move) at kickoff

Team SaysMon 9:03 PM · SEA vs LAC

Macdonald backs Price as Seattle's starting back despite fumbles

Seahawks coach Mike Macdonald said the team still has confidence in rookie running back Jadarian Price after he fumbled in back-to-back games. The comment signals Price keeps the starting job heading into Sunday's game against the Chargers. ESPN

SEA since this note: −7 → −7 (no move)

InjuryMon 8:07 PM · SF vs DEN

49ers expect short absences for Evans, Williams and Greenlaw

Kyle Shanahan said the injuries suffered Sunday by Mike Evans, Trent Williams and Dre Greenlaw are not viewed as long-term problems. That keeps three key contributors in play for the Week 4 matchup with Denver rather than ruling them out for an extended stretch. ESPN

SF since this note: −2.5 → −2.5 (no move)

InjuryMon 7:53 PM · TB vs GB

Bucs lose Mayfield for at least three weeks with thumb injury

Tampa Bay coach Todd Bowles said quarterback Baker Mayfield will be sidelined a minimum of three weeks after dislocating the thumb on his throwing hand. That rules him out against Green Bay and forces a backup into the starting role. ESPN

TB since this note: +4 → +4 (no move)

InjuryMon 7:50 PM · PIT vs CLE

Steelers Cornerback Joey Porter Jr. Cleared to Return

Not priced in

Worth −1.0 pts against Pittsburgh. Line −2.5 → −2.5.

InjuryMon 7:10 PM · PHI vs CHI

Backup QB McKee inactive for Eagles at Chicago

Philadelphia listed quarterback Tanner McKee as out and inactive for the game at Chicago. That leaves the Eagles without their primary backup behind center. ESPN player news

PHI since this note: −3.5 → −3.5 (no move) at kickoff

InjuryMon 7:10 PM · DAL vs HOU

Cowboys Safety Jalen Thompson Ruled Out

Not priced in

Worth +0.5 pts against Dallas. Line +2.5 → +2.5.

InjuryMon 7:10 PM · BAL vs TEN

Ravens Center Jovaughn Gwyn Ruled Out

Little change to his value. Line −11.5 → −11.5.

InjuryMon 6:49 PM · LA vs PHI

Rams Tight End Colby Parkinson Listed Questionable

Worth +0.1 pts against Los Angeles. Line −2.5 → −2.5.

InjuryMon 6:49 PM · LA vs PHI

Rams Cornerback Jaylen Watson Listed Doubtful

Not priced in

Worth +0.7 pts against Los Angeles. Line −2.5 → −2.5.

InjuryMon 6:49 PM · CLE vs PIT

Browns Center Elgton Jenkins Listed Questionable

Not priced in

Worth +0.3 pts against Cleveland. Line +2.5 → +2.5.

InjuryMon 6:49 PM · CLE vs PIT

Browns Safety Grant Delpit Listed Questionable

Not priced in

Worth +0.4 pts against Cleveland. Line +2.5 → +2.5.

InjuryMon 6:49 PM · CLE vs PIT

Browns Right Tackle Tytus Howard Listed Questionable

Not priced in

Worth +0.3 pts against Cleveland. Line +2.5 → +2.5.

WeatherMon 6:17 PM · NYG vs ARI

Rain Chance for Cardinals at Giants

The forecast for kickoff at MetLife Stadium calls for a 51% chance of rain. Forecasts change; this note updates as the game gets closer.

InjuryMon 5:48 PM · TEN vs BAL

Titans Guard Fernando Carmona Listed Doubtful

Worth +0.1 pts against Tennessee. Line +11.5 → +11.5.

InjuryMon 5:41 PM · MIN vs MIA

Jefferson's ankle sprain leaves door open for Sunday vs. Dolphins

An MRI on Monday showed Justin Jefferson has a sprained ankle, and there is a chance he suits up against Miami in Week 4. His availability would significantly shape Minnesota's passing game and the market for the matchup. ESPN

MIN since this note: −11 → −11 (no move)

InjuryMon 5:37 PM · BAL vs TEN

Ravens may hand rookie Ioane the center job after losing two pivots

Baltimore lost both of its centers to injury during Sunday's win over Dallas, leaving rookie guard Vega Ioane as a possible starter at center. That would put an inexperienced player in charge of line calls against Tennessee in Week 4. ESPN

BAL since this note: −11.5 → −11.5 (no move)

InjuryMon 5:28 PM · MIN vs MIA

Vikings Cornerback Charles Demmings Ruled Out

Worth +0.1 pts against Minnesota. Line −11 → −11.

InjuryMon 5:28 PM · BUF vs NE

Bills Quarterback Josh Allen Listed Questionable

Not priced in

Worth +2.5 pts against Buffalo. Line −6.5 → −6.5.

InjuryMon 5:28 PM · BUF vs NE

Bills play down Allen knee hit ahead of Patriots visit

Josh Allen took a knee hit late in Buffalo's win over the Chargers and is listed questionable. Coach Joe Brady said the team will monitor him over the next few days but expressed no concern, suggesting Allen is on track to start against New England. ESPN player news

BUF since this note: −6.5 → −6.5 (no move)

RosterMon 4:35 PM · GB vs TB

Packers add veteran lineman Becton

Green Bay signed offensive lineman Mekhi Becton on Monday. The move gives the Packers interior line depth ahead of Sunday's game at Tampa Bay. ESPN

GB since this note: −3.5 → −4 (−0.5)

Team SaysMon 4:27 PM · NYG vs ARI

Giants Confirm Winston Stays Starting Quarterback After McCarthy Trade

The Giants' head coach said Jameis Winston remains the starting quarterback despite the trade for J.J. McCarthy. That settles the quarterback question for the upcoming game against Arizona. ESPN player news

NYG since this note: +1 → +1 (no move)

InjuryMon 4:27 PM · MIA vs MIN

Dolphins Running Back De'Von Achane Placed on Injured Reserve

Little change to his value. Line +10.5 → +11.

InjuryMon 4:24 PM · MIA vs MIN

Dolphins lose Achane for season with torn ACL

Miami running back De'Von Achane tore an ACL in Sunday's loss to Kansas City and is done for the season, according to reports. The Dolphins will need a new lead back at Minnesota, removing their top offensive weapon from the game plan. ESPN

MIA since this note: +10.5 → +11 (+0.5)

InjuryMon 4:07 PM · NYJ vs CHI

Jets' Breece Hall week-to-week with quad injury

Jets running back Breece Hall hurt his quad in Sunday's loss to Detroit and is considered week-to-week, per reports. That timeline puts his availability at Chicago in week 4 in doubt and would shift carries to New York's backup backs. ESPN

NYJ since this note: +3 → +3.5 (+0.5)

InjuryMon 4:07 PM · NYG vs ARI

Giants Linebacker Brian Burns Ruled Out

Not priced in

Worth +0.4 pts against New York. Line +1 → +1.

InjuryMon 4:01 PM · NO vs ATL

Etienne sidelined by hamstring, no timeline from Saints

Saints running back Travis Etienne Jr. hurt his hamstring in the loss to Las Vegas and will miss time, with coach Kellen Moore declining to give a timeline. That points to a larger backfield role for Alvin Kamara against Atlanta. ESPN

NO since this note: −2.5 → −2.5 (no move)