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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Thursday, October 1, 2026 Week 4

Houston Texans · WR

Nico Collins

Valued at 0.6 points a game over Jaylin Noel (current-form EPA vs backup). Played 0 of 5 games he was listed for.

The File

NewsGameChangeWorthLine then → close/nowPriced in?PlayedSource
Tue Sep 29, 1:06 PM W4 vs DAL Out → Questionable−0.4 −2.5 → −3 Priced in — ESPN
Fri Sep 25, 4:12 PM W3 vs IND Doubtful → Out+0.0 −1.5 → −1.5 — No ESPN
Fri Sep 25, 12:08 PM W3 vs IND Questionable → Doubtful+0.5 −1.5 → −1.5 Never priced in No ESPN
Tue Sep 22, 5:16 PM W3 vs IND Out → Questionable−0.5 −2.5 → −1.5 Never priced in No ESPN
Fri Sep 18, 4:27 PM W2 vs CIN Questionable → Out+0.5 −2.5 → −2.5 Never priced in No ESPN
Wed Sep 16, 6:26 PM W2 vs CIN Active → Questionable+0.3 −2.5 → −2.5 Never priced in No ESPN

Statuses as reported by the team and ESPN. Lines are the team's consensus spread before the news and at kickoff (or now, for games not yet played).