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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Tuesday, September 29, 2026 Week 3 · Final Edition

Back issue · The Sharp Edition, Week 3 as it stood when the week closed.

Atlanta Falcons · QB

Tua Tagovailoa

Valued at 0.7 points a game over Michael Penix Jr. (current-form EPA vs backup). Played 0 of 6 games he was listed for.

The File

NewsGameChangeWorthLine then → close/nowPriced in?PlayedSource
Tue Sep 22, 4:15 PM W3 vs GB Out → Returning−0.7 +6.5 → +4.5 Moved past our number No ESPN
Sun Sep 20, 12:02 PM W2 vs CAR Doubtful → Out+0.0 +2.5 → +2.5 — No ESPN
Fri Sep 18, 1:43 PM W2 vs CAR Questionable → Doubtful+0.5 +2.5 → +2.5 Never priced in No ESPN
Wed Sep 16, 1:00 PM W2 vs CAR Out → Questionable−0.5 +2.5 → +2.5 Never priced in No ESPN
Fri Sep 11, 1:54 PM W1 vs PIT Questionable → Out+0.5 +6 → +6.5 Priced in No ESPN
Thu Sep 10, 2:03 PM W1 vs PIT Active → Questionable+0.3 +3.5 → +6.5 Moved past our number No ESPN

Statuses as reported by the team and ESPN. Lines are the team's consensus spread before the news and at kickoff (or now, for games not yet played).