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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 1 · Early Edition

College football · Week 1 · Thursday, September 3, 7:00 PM ET · Final Akron 16, Wake Forest 38

Akron at Wake Forest

Wake Forest −23.5 at our first look, −27.5 at kickoff. Mid-American vs. ACC.

Conditions · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium: At kickoff: 90°F, wind 5 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Akron 0.0 · Wake Forest 0.0. Market: moved 4 toward Wake Forest.

Landed: Akron 16, Wake Forest 38. Akron covered the closing line (Wake Forest −27.5). The move toward Wake Forest was wrong. 54 points, over the closing total of 50.5.

Akron Zips 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Wake Forest lineWake Forest Demon Deacons spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Wake Forest.
−28−27−26−25−24−23Opening line−23.5Market move, no reported newsWed 1:55 PM−4Closing line−27.5
−28−27−26−25−24−23Opening line−23.5Market move, no reported newsWed 1:55 PM−4Closing line−27.5

Final: Akron 16, Wake Forest 38. Wake Forest missed the closing number by 5.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−23.5
Market move, no reported newsWed Aug 26, 1:55 PM ET-4
Closing line−27.5
What moved the Wake Forest moneylineWake Forest Demon Deacons moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Wake Forest.
−1150−1329−1567Opening line−1270Market move, no reported newsWed 1:55 PM−1270Price-only move−1487Closing line−1487
−1150−1329−1567Opening line−1270Market move, no reported newsWed 1:55 PM−1270Price-only move−1487Closing line−1487
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line92.7% (−1270)
Market move, no reported newsWed Aug 26, 1:55 PM ET92.7% (−1270)
Price-only move93.7% (−1487)
Closing line93.7% (−1487)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
495051Opening line49.5Market move, no reported newsTue 1:55 PM+1Closing line50.5
495051Opening line49.5Market move, no reported newsTue 1:55 PM+1Closing line50.5

Final: 54 points, over the closing total of 50.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line49.5
Market move, no reported newsTue Aug 25, 1:55 PM ET+1
Closing line50.5

Every Book · Wake Forest side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−27.5 −110−40001.02 93.7%50.5Thu 5:55 PM
DraftKings−27.5 −110−28001.04 93.1%50.5Thu 5:55 PM
FanDuel−27.5 −108−70001.01 95.4%50.5Thu 5:55 PM
BetMGM−27 −110−30001.03 94.4%50.5Thu 5:55 PM
Caesars−27.5 −102−35001.03 93.2%50.5Thu 5:55 PM
Fanatics−27.5 −110−30001.03 93.9%50.5Thu 5:55 PM
BetRivers−27 −110−100001.01 93.7%50.5Thu 5:55 PM
BetOnline−27 −126−45001.02 94.0%50.5Thu 5:55 PM
Bovada−27.5 −115−40001.02 92.7%50.5Thu 5:55 PM
LowVig−27.5 −106−45001.02 94.0%50.5Thu 5:55 PM
MyBookie−27 −110−50001.02 93.3%50.5Thu 5:55 PM
BetUS−27.5 −110−34001.03 93.6%50.5Thu 5:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.