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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 1 · Early Edition

College football · Week 1 · Saturday, September 5, 3:30 PM ET · Final Boston College 15, Cincinnati 34

Boston College at Cincinnati

Cincinnati −7.5 at our first look, −7 at kickoff. ACC vs. Big 12.

Conditions · Nippert Stadium: At kickoff: 91°F, wind 7 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Boston College 0.0 · Cincinnati 0.0. Market: moved 0.5 toward Boston College.

Landed: Boston College 15, Cincinnati 34. Cincinnati covered the closing line (Cincinnati −7). The move toward Boston College was wrong. 49 points, under the closing total of 51.5.

Boston College Eagles 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Cincinnati Bearcats 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Cincinnati lineCincinnati Bearcats spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Cincinnati.
−8−7Opening line−7.5Market move, no reported newsSat 9:55 AM+0.5Closing line−7
−8−7Opening line−7.5Market move, no reported newsSat 9:55 AM+0.5Closing line−7

Final: Boston College 15, Cincinnati 34. Cincinnati beat the closing number by 12.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−7.5
Market move, no reported newsSat Sep 5, 9:55 AM ET+0.5
Closing line−7
What moved the Cincinnati moneylineCincinnati Bearcats moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Cincinnati.
−233−245−257Opening line−255Market move, no reported newsSat 9:55 AM−236Less than the spread implies−248Closing line−248
−233−245−257Opening line−255Market move, no reported newsSat 9:55 AM−236Less than the spread implies−248Closing line−248
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line71.8% (−255)
Market move, no reported newsSat Sep 5, 9:55 AM ET70.2% (−236)
Less than the spread implies71.3% (−248)
Closing line71.3% (−248)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.

51.5 no movement since tracking began Sun 9:55 AM ET.

Every Book · Cincinnati side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−7 −112−2881.35 71.3%51.5Sat 1:55 PM
DraftKings−7 −112−2781.36 70.5%51.5Sat 1:55 PM
FanDuel−7.5 −105−3001.33 71.8%51.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetMGM−7 −115−2851.35 71.0%51.5Sat 1:55 PM
Caesars−7 −113−2901.34 71.4%51.5Sat 1:55 PM
Fanatics−7 −115−2851.35 71.0%51Sat 11:55 AM
BetRivers−7.5 −112−3151.32 72.1%51Sat 1:55 PM
BetOnline−7 −114−2851.35 71.2%51.5Sat 1:55 PM
Bovada−7 −115−2851.35 71.3%51Sat 1:55 PM
LowVig−7 −110−2851.35 71.2%51.5Sat 1:55 PM
MyBookie−7 −110−3021.33 71.3%51Sat 1:55 PM
BetUS−7 −115−2901.34 71.7%51Sat 1:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.