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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 1 · Early Edition

College football · Week 1 · Saturday, September 5, 10:00 PM ET · Final Central Michigan 7, New Mexico 38

Central Michigan at New Mexico

New Mexico −12.5 at our first look, −11 at kickoff. Mid-American vs. Mountain West.

Conditions · University Stadium (NM): At kickoff: 86°F, wind 6 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Central Michigan 0.0 · New Mexico 0.0. Market: moved 1.5 toward Central Michigan.

Landed: Central Michigan 7, New Mexico 38. New Mexico covered the closing line (New Mexico −11). The move toward Central Michigan was wrong. 45 points, under the closing total of 47.5.

Central Michigan Chippewas 0.0

No news that moves the number.

New Mexico Lobos 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the New Mexico lineNew Mexico Lobos spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against New Mexico.
−13−12−11Opening line−12.5Market move, no reported newsSun 11:55 AM+1.5Closing line−11
−13−12−11Opening line−12.5Market move, no reported newsSun 11:55 AM+1.5Closing line−11

Final: Central Michigan 7, New Mexico 38. New Mexico beat the closing number by 20.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−12.5
Market move, no reported newsSun Aug 23, 11:55 AM ET+1.5
Closing line−11
What moved the New Mexico moneylineNew Mexico Lobos moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward New Mexico.
−317−335−355−376−400Opening line−400Market move, no reported newsSun 11:55 AM−313Less than the spread implies−367Closing line−367
−317−335−355−376−400Opening line−400Market move, no reported newsSun 11:55 AM−313Less than the spread implies−367Closing line−367
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line80.0% (−400)
Market move, no reported newsSun Aug 23, 11:55 AM ET75.8% (−313)
Less than the spread implies78.6% (−367)
Closing line78.6% (−367)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.

47.5 no movement since tracking began Sun 9:55 AM ET.

Every Book · New Mexico side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−11 −110−4501.22 78.6%47.5Sat 9:55 PM
DraftKings−10.5 −115−4701.21 79.1%47.5Sat 9:55 PM
FanDuel−10.5 −110−4301.23 77.7%47.5Sat 9:55 PM
BetMGM−11 −110−4501.22 78.6%47.5Sat 9:55 PM
Caesars−11 −110−4401.23 77.8%47.5Sat 9:55 PM
Fanatics−10.5 −110−4501.22 78.3%47.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetRivers−10.5 −108−4351.23 77.6%46.5Sat 9:55 PM
BetOnline−11 −110−4501.22 78.6%47Sat 9:55 PM
Bovada−11.5 −105−5101.20 79.7%47Sat 9:55 PM
LowVig−11 −106−4501.22 78.6%47Sat 9:55 PM
MyBookie−11 −110−4771.21 78.7%47.5Sat 9:55 PM
BetUS−11 −105−4201.24 77.6%47.5Sat 9:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.