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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 1 · Early Edition

College football · Week 1 · Saturday, September 5, 7:30 PM ET · Final Clemson 10, LSU 51

Clemson at 10LSU

LSU −10.5 at our first look, −10 at kickoff. ACC vs. SEC.

Conditions · Tiger Stadium (LA): At kickoff: 80°F, wind 8 mph, rain.

The read at kickoff

News: Clemson 0.0 · LSU 0.0. Market: moved 0.5 toward Clemson.

Landed: Clemson 10, LSU 51. LSU covered the closing line (LSU −10). The move toward Clemson was wrong. 61 points, over the closing total of 49.5.

Clemson Tigers 0.0

No news that moves the number.

LSU Tigers 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the LSU lineLSU Tigers spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against LSU.
−11−10Opening line−10.5Market move, no reported newsMon 5:55 PM+0.5Closing line−10
−11−10Opening line−10.5Market move, no reported newsMon 5:55 PM+0.5Closing line−10

Final: Clemson 10, LSU 51. LSU beat the closing number by 31.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−10.5
Market move, no reported newsMon Aug 31, 5:55 PM ET+0.5
Closing line−10
What moved the LSU moneylineLSU Tigers moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward LSU.
−317−335−355Opening line−344Market move, no reported newsMon 5:55 PM−335Price-only move−326Closing line−326
−317−335−355Opening line−344Market move, no reported newsMon 5:55 PM−335Price-only move−326Closing line−326
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line77.5% (−344)
Market move, no reported newsMon Aug 31, 5:55 PM ET77.0% (−335)
Price-only move76.5% (−326)
Closing line76.5% (−326)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
495051Opening line51Market move, no reported newsMon 1:55 AM−1.5Closing line49.5
495051Opening line51Market move, no reported newsMon 1:55 AM−1.5Closing line49.5

Final: 61 points, over the closing total of 49.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line51
Market move, no reported newsMon Aug 24, 1:55 AM ET-1.5
Closing line49.5

Every Book · LSU side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−10 −108−3901.26 76.5%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
DraftKings−10 −105−3601.28 75.1%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
FanDuel−10.5 −104−4051.25 77.1%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetMGM−10 −108−3751.27 75.9%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
Caesars−10 −106−3901.26 76.1%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
Fanatics−9.5 −115−4001.25 76.6%50.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetRivers−10 −110−4351.23 76.9%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetOnline−10 −107−3901.26 76.5%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
Bovada−10 −115−4101.24 76.5%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
LowVig−10 −103−3901.26 76.5%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
MyBookie−10 −110−4201.24 76.8%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetUS−10 −110−3701.27 75.7%49.5Sat 5:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.