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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 1 · Early Edition

College football · Week 1 · Saturday, August 29, 7:00 PM ET · Final Hawai'i 27, Stanford 37

Hawai'i at Stanford

Stanford −5.5 at our first look, −4.5 at kickoff. Mountain West vs. ACC.

Conditions · Stanford Stadium: At kickoff: 79°F, wind 14 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Hawai'i 0.0 · Stanford 0.0. Market: moved 1 toward Hawai'i.

Landed: Hawai'i 27, Stanford 37. Stanford covered the closing line (Stanford −4.5). The move toward Hawai'i was wrong. 64 points, over the closing total of 48.5.

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Stanford Cardinal 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Stanford lineStanford Cardinal spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Stanford.
−6−5−4Opening line−5.5Market move, no reported newsMon 9:55 PM+1Closing line−4.5
−6−5−4Opening line−5.5Market move, no reported newsMon 9:55 PM+1Closing line−4.5

Final: Hawai'i 27, Stanford 37. Stanford beat the closing number by 5.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−5.5
Market move, no reported newsMon Aug 24, 9:55 PM ET+1
Closing line−4.5
What moved the Stanford moneylineStanford Cardinal moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Stanford.
−163−170−178−186−194Opening line−192Market move, no reported newsMon 9:55 PM−163Less than the spread implies−175Closing line−175
−163−170−178−186−194Opening line−192Market move, no reported newsMon 9:55 PM−163Less than the spread implies−175Closing line−175
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line65.8% (−192)
Market move, no reported newsMon Aug 24, 9:55 PM ET62.0% (−163)
Less than the spread implies63.7% (−175)
Closing line63.7% (−175)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
4849Opening line49Market move, no reported newsTue 1:55 PM−0.5Closing line48.5
4849Opening line49Market move, no reported newsTue 1:55 PM−0.5Closing line48.5

Final: 64 points, over the closing total of 48.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line49
Market move, no reported newsTue Aug 25, 1:55 PM ET-0.5
Closing line48.5

Every Book · Stanford side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−4.5 −110−2001.50 63.7%48.5Sat 5:55 PM
DraftKings−4.5 −105−1981.51 63.7%48.5Sat 5:55 PM
FanDuel−4.5 −105−1881.53 62.5%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetMGM−4 −110−2001.50 63.4%48.5Sat 5:55 PM
Caesars−4.5 −107−1931.52 63.1%48.5Sat 5:55 PM
Fanatics−4.5 −110−2001.50 63.9%48.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetRivers−4.5 −112−2101.48 64.2%48.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetOnline−4 −112−2001.50 64.6%48.5Sat 5:55 PM
Bovada−4.5 −110−1951.51 63.7%48.5Sat 5:55 PM
LowVig−4.5 −106−2001.50 64.6%48.5Sat 5:55 PM
MyBookie−4.5 −110−2121.47 64.7%48.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetUS−4.5 −110−1901.53 63.3%48.5Sat 5:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.