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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 1 · Early Edition

College football · Week 1 · Saturday, August 29, 5:30 PM ET · Final Jacksonville State 7, North Dakota State 33

Jacksonville State at North Dakota State

North Dakota State −7 at our first look, −6.5 at kickoff. Conference USA vs. Mountain West.

Conditions · Fargodome: Indoors.

The read at kickoff

News: Jacksonville State 0.0 · North Dakota State 0.0. Market: moved 0.5 toward Jacksonville State.

Landed: Jacksonville State 7, North Dakota State 33. North Dakota State covered the closing line (North Dakota State −6.5). The move toward Jacksonville State was wrong. 40 points, under the closing total of 46.5.

Jacksonville State Gamecocks 0.0

No news that moves the number.

North Dakota State Bison 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the North Dakota State lineNorth Dakota State Bison spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against North Dakota State.
−7−6Opening line−7Market move, no reported newsFri 5:55 PM+0.5Closing line−6.5
−7−6Opening line−7Market move, no reported newsFri 5:55 PM+0.5Closing line−6.5

Final: Jacksonville State 7, North Dakota State 33. North Dakota State beat the closing number by 19.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−7
Market move, no reported newsFri Aug 28, 5:55 PM ET+0.5
Closing line−6.5
What moved the North Dakota State moneylineNorth Dakota State Bison moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward North Dakota State.
−213−223−233Opening line−234Market move, no reported newsFri 5:55 PM−217Less than the spread implies−231Closing line−231
−213−223−233Opening line−234Market move, no reported newsFri 5:55 PM−217Less than the spread implies−231Closing line−231
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line70.1% (−234)
Market move, no reported newsFri Aug 28, 5:55 PM ET68.5% (−217)
Less than the spread implies69.8% (−231)
Closing line69.8% (−231)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.

46.5 no movement since tracking began Sun 9:55 AM ET.

Every Book · North Dakota State side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−6.5 −111−2751.36 69.8%46.5Sat 3:55 PM
DraftKings−6.5 −120−2651.38 69.6%46.5Sat 3:55 PM
FanDuel−6.5 −120−2751.36 70.1%46.5Sat 3:55 PM
BetMGM−7 −105−2751.36 70.1%46.5Sat 3:55 PM
Caesars−6.5 −117−2651.38 69.6%46.5Sat 3:55 PM
Fanatics−7 −105−2751.36 70.1%46.5Sat 3:55 PM
BetRivers−7 −109−2781.36 69.8%47.5Sat 3:55 PM
BetOnline−6.5 −115−2601.38 69.5%46.5Sat 3:55 PM
Bovada−7 −105−2751.36 70.4%46.5Sat 3:55 PM
LowVig−6.5 −111−2601.38 69.5%46.5Sat 3:55 PM
MyBookie−7 −110−2841.35 70.1%46.5Sat 3:55 PM
BetUS−6.5 −115−2601.38 69.7%46.5Sat 3:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.