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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 1 · Early Edition

College football · Week 1 · Saturday, September 5, 12:00 PM ET · Final Liberty 13, James Madison 20

Liberty at James Madison

James Madison −6.5 at our first look, −6.5 at kickoff. Conference USA vs. Sun Belt.

Conditions · Bridgeforth Stadium: At kickoff: 72°F, wind 6 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Liberty 0.0 · James Madison 0.0. Market: line unchanged.

Landed: Liberty 13, James Madison 20. James Madison covered the closing line (James Madison −6.5). 33 points, under the closing total of 50.5.

Liberty Flames 0.0

No news that moves the number.

James Madison Dukes 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the James Madison lineJames Madison Dukes spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against James Madison.

−6.5 no movement since tracking began Sun 9:55 AM ET.

What moved the James Madison moneylineJames Madison Dukes moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward James Madison.
−194−203−213Opening line−214Price-only move−198Closing line−198
−194−203−213Opening line−214Price-only move−198Closing line−198
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line68.2% (−214)
Price-only move66.4% (−198)
Closing line66.4% (−198)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
50515253Opening line52.5Market move, no reported newsMon 1:55 PM−2Closing line50.5
50515253Opening line52.5Market move, no reported newsMon 1:55 PM−2Closing line50.5

Final: 33 points, under the closing total of 50.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line52.5
Market move, no reported newsMon Aug 31, 1:55 PM ET-2
Closing line50.5

Every Book · James Madison side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−6.5 −110−2251.44 66.4%50.5Sat 11:55 AM
DraftKings−6 −110−2251.44 66.4%50.5Sat 11:55 AM
FanDuel−6.5 −105−2251.44 66.3%51.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetMGM−6.5 −108−2251.44 66.4%50.5Sat 11:55 AM
Caesars−6 −110−2301.43 66.7%50.5Sat 11:55 AM
Fanatics−6 −110−2351.43 67.0%50.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetRivers−6.5 −108−2401.42 66.0%50.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetOnline−6.5 −105−2151.47 65.9%50.5Sat 11:55 AM
Bovada−6 −110−2301.43 66.9%50.5Sat 11:55 AM
LowVig−6.5 −101−2151.47 65.9%50.5Sat 11:55 AM
MyBookie−6.5 −110−2381.42 67.1%50.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetUS−6 −110−2201.45 66.2%50.5Sat 11:55 AM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.