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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 1 · Early Edition

College football · Week 1 · Friday, September 4, 9:00 PM ET · Final Miami 45, Stanford 6

4Miami at Stanford

Stanford +24.5 at our first look, +24.5 at kickoff. ACC game.

Conditions · Stanford Stadium: At kickoff: 73°F, wind 10 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Miami 0.0 · Stanford 0.0. Market: line unchanged.

Landed: Miami 45, Stanford 6. Miami covered the closing line (Stanford +24.5). 51 points, over the closing total of 46.5.

Miami Hurricanes 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Stanford Cardinal 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Stanford lineStanford Cardinal spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Stanford.

+24.5 no movement since tracking began Sun 9:55 AM ET.

What moved the Stanford moneylineStanford Cardinal moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Stanford.
+1567+1329Opening line+1289Price-only move+1513Closing line+1513
+1567+1329Opening line+1289Price-only move+1513Closing line+1513
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line7.2% (+1289)
Price-only move6.2% (+1513)
Closing line6.2% (+1513)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
46474849Opening line48.5Market move, no reported newsThu 5:55 PM−1Reaction to last week's gameSat 11:55 PM−1Closing line46.5
46474849Opening line48.5Market move, no reported newsThu 5:55 PM−1Reaction to last week's gameSat 11:55 PM−1Closing line46.5

Final: 51 points, over the closing total of 46.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line48.5
Market move, no reported newsThu Aug 27, 5:55 PM ET-1
Reaction to last week's gameSat Aug 29, 11:55 PM ET-1
Closing line46.5

Every Book · Stanford side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus+24.5 −110+145015.50 6.2%46.5Fri 7:55 PM
DraftKings+24.5 −112+160017.00 5.7%46.5Fri 7:55 PM
FanDuel+24.5 −112+160017.00 5.7%45.5Fri 7:55 PM
BetMGM+24.5 −110+170018.00 5.4%46.5Fri 7:55 PM
Caesars+24.5 −109—— —46.5Fri 7:55 PM
Fanatics+24.5 −110+150016.00 6.1%46.5Fri 5:55 PM
BetRivers+24.5 −113+140015.00 6.4%47Fri 7:55 PM
BetOnline+24.5 −107+145015.50 6.2%45.5Fri 7:55 PM
Bovada+24.5 −110+110012.00 7.9%46.5Fri 7:55 PM
LowVig+24.5 −103+145015.50 6.2%45.5Fri 7:55 PM
MyBookie+24.5 −110+138914.89 6.4%46.5Fri 7:55 PM
BetUS+24.5 −105+150016.00 6.0%46Fri 7:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.