58 games on the board
Every FBS game · every book

The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 1 · Early Edition

College football · Week 1 · Saturday, August 29, 3:30 PM ET · Final NC State 8, Virginia 34

NC State at Virginia

Virginia −5.5 at our first look, −4 at kickoff. ACC game.

Conditions · Scott Stadium: At kickoff: 80°F, wind 5 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: NC State 0.0 · Virginia 0.0. Market: moved 1.5 toward NC State.

Landed: NC State 8, Virginia 34. Virginia covered the closing line (Virginia −4). The move toward NC State was wrong. 42 points, under the closing total of 51.

NC State Wolfpack 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Virginia Cavaliers 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Virginia lineVirginia Cavaliers spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Virginia.
−6−5−4Opening line−5.5Market move, no reported newsWed 11:55 AM+1.5Closing line−4
−6−5−4Opening line−5.5Market move, no reported newsWed 11:55 AM+1.5Closing line−4

Final: NC State 8, Virginia 34. Virginia beat the closing number by 22.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−5.5
Market move, no reported newsWed Aug 26, 11:55 AM ET+1.5
Closing line−4
What moved the Virginia moneylineVirginia Cavaliers moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Virginia.
−156−163−170−178−186−194Opening line−192Market move, no reported newsWed 11:55 AM−161Less than the spread implies−167Closing line−167
−156−163−170−178−186−194Opening line−192Market move, no reported newsWed 11:55 AM−161Less than the spread implies−167Closing line−167
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line65.8% (−192)
Market move, no reported newsWed Aug 26, 11:55 AM ET61.7% (−161)
Less than the spread implies62.6% (−167)
Closing line62.6% (−167)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
51525354Opening line53.5Market move, no reported newsWed 5:55 PM−2.5Closing line51
51525354Opening line53.5Market move, no reported newsWed 5:55 PM−2.5Closing line51

Final: 42 points, under the closing total of 51.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line53.5
Market move, no reported newsWed Aug 26, 5:55 PM ET-2.5
Closing line51

Every Book · Virginia side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−4 −110−1851.54 62.6%51Sat 1:55 PM
DraftKings−4 −110−1851.54 62.2%51.5Sat 1:55 PM
FanDuel−4.5 −105−1781.56 61.2%51.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetMGM−4 −110−1851.54 61.9%51.5Sat 1:55 PM
Caesars−4 −110−1821.55 61.9%51.5Sat 1:55 PM
Fanatics−4.5 −105−1901.53 62.6%51Sat 1:55 PM
BetRivers−4 −110−1821.55 61.1%51Sat 1:55 PM
BetOnline−4 −110−1851.54 62.9%51Sat 1:55 PM
Bovada−4 −115−1851.54 62.8%51Sat 1:55 PM
LowVig−4 −106−1851.54 62.9%51Sat 1:55 PM
MyBookie−4 −110−2001.50 63.6%51Sat 1:55 PM
BetUS−4 −110−1851.54 62.7%51Sat 1:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.