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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 1 · Early Edition

College football · Week 1 · Saturday, September 5, 12:00 PM ET · Final North Texas 16, Indiana 52

North Texas at 7Indiana

Indiana −40.5 at our first look, −40 at kickoff. American Athletic vs. Big Ten.

Conditions · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN): At kickoff: 86°F, wind 8 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: North Texas 0.0 · Indiana 0.0. Market: moved 0.5 toward North Texas.

Landed: North Texas 16, Indiana 52. North Texas covered the closing line (Indiana −40). The move toward North Texas was right. 68 points, over the closing total of 56.5.

North Texas Mean Green 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Indiana Hoosiers 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Indiana lineIndiana Hoosiers spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Indiana.
−41−40Opening line−40.5Market move, no reported newsTue 5:55 AM+0.5Closing line−40
−41−40Opening line−40.5Market move, no reported newsTue 5:55 AM+0.5Closing line−40

Final: North Texas 16, Indiana 52. Indiana missed the closing number by 4.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−40.5
Market move, no reported newsTue Aug 25, 5:55 AM ET+0.5
Closing line−40
What moved the Indiana moneylineIndiana Hoosiers moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Indiana.
−1900−2400−3233Opening line−2757Market move, no reported newsTue 5:55 AM−2757Price-only move−1983Closing line−1983
−1900−2400−3233Opening line−2757Market move, no reported newsTue 5:55 AM−2757Price-only move−1983Closing line−1983
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line96.5% (−2757)
Market move, no reported newsTue Aug 25, 5:55 AM ET96.5% (−2757)
Price-only move95.2% (−1983)
Closing line95.2% (−1983)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
555657Opening line55.5Market move, no reported newsThu 11:55 AM+1Closing line56.5
555657Opening line55.5Market move, no reported newsThu 11:55 AM+1Closing line56.5

Final: 68 points, over the closing total of 56.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line55.5
Market move, no reported newsThu Sep 3, 11:55 AM ET+1
Closing line56.5

Every Book · Indiana side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−40 −110−1000001.00 95.2%56.5Sat 11:55 AM
DraftKings−39.5 −110—— —56.5Sat 11:55 AM
FanDuel−39.5 −118—— —56.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetMGM−40.5 −110—— —57.5Sat 11:55 AM
Caesars−40 −110—— —57Sat 11:55 AM
Fanatics−39.5 −110—— —56.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetRivers−40.5 −113—— —56.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetOnline−40 −110—— —57.5Sat 11:55 AM
Bovada−40 −105—— —56.5Sat 11:55 AM
LowVig−40 −105—— —57.5Sat 11:55 AM
MyBookie−40 −110−1000001.00 95.2%56.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetUS−40 −110—— —57Sat 11:55 AM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.