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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 1 · Early Edition

College football · Week 1 · Saturday, September 5, 4:15 PM ET · Final Northern Illinois 0, Iowa 40

Northern Illinois at 20Iowa

Iowa −31.5 at our first look, −31.5 at kickoff. Mountain West vs. Big Ten.

Conditions · Kinnick Stadium: At kickoff: 92°F, wind 10 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Northern Illinois 0.0 · Iowa 0.0. Market: line unchanged.

Landed: Northern Illinois 0, Iowa 40. Iowa covered the closing line (Iowa −31.5). 40 points, under the closing total of 44.5.

Northern Illinois Huskies 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Iowa Hawkeyes 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Iowa lineIowa Hawkeyes spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Iowa.

−31.5 no movement since tracking began Sun 9:55 AM ET.

What moved the Iowa moneylineIowa Hawkeyes moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Iowa.
−2400−3233Opening line−2757Price-only move−3348Closing line−3348
−2400−3233Opening line−2757Price-only move−3348Closing line−3348
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line96.5% (−2757)
Price-only move97.1% (−3348)
Closing line97.1% (−3348)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
444546Opening line45.5Market move, no reported newsSun 5:55 PM−1Closing line44.5
444546Opening line45.5Market move, no reported newsSun 5:55 PM−1Closing line44.5

Final: 40 points, under the closing total of 44.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line45.5
Market move, no reported newsSun Aug 30, 5:55 PM ET-1
Closing line44.5

Every Book · Iowa side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−31.5 −110−312501.00 97.1%44.5Sat 3:55 PM
DraftKings−31.5 −105−100001.01 96.8%44.5Sat 3:55 PM
FanDuel−30.5 −115—— —44.5Sat 3:55 PM
BetMGM−31 −108−125001.01 97.3%44.5Sat 3:55 PM
Caesars−31.5 −106—— —44.5Sat 3:55 PM
Fanatics−31.5 −115—— —44Sat 11:55 AM
BetRivers−31.5 −112—— —44.5Sat 3:55 PM
BetOnline−31 −110—— —44.5Sat 3:55 PM
Bovada−31 −110−1000001.00 97.9%44.5Sat 3:55 PM
LowVig−31 −106—— —44.5Sat 3:55 PM
MyBookie−31.5 −110−500001.00 95.1%44.5Sat 3:55 PM
BetUS−31.5 −110—— —44.5Sat 3:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.