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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 1 · Early Edition

College football · Week 1 · Friday, September 4, 6:30 PM ET · Final San José State 27, Eastern Michigan 21

San José State at Eastern Michigan

Eastern Michigan −4.5 at our first look, −1.5 at kickoff. Mountain West vs. Mid-American.

Conditions · Rynearson Stadium: At kickoff: 76°F, wind 4 mph (gusts 13), dry.

The read at kickoff

News: San José State 0.0 · Eastern Michigan 0.0. Market: moved 3 toward San José State.

Landed: San José State 27, Eastern Michigan 21. San José State covered the closing line (Eastern Michigan −1.5). The move toward San José State was right. 48 points, under the closing total of 55.

San José State Spartans 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Eastern Michigan Eagles 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Eastern Michigan lineEastern Michigan Eagles spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Eastern Michigan.
−5−4−3−2−1Opening line−4.5Reaction to last week's gameSat 11:55 PM+1Market move, no reported newsMon 5:55 PM+2Closing line−1.5
−5−4−3−2−1Opening line−4.5Reaction to last week's gameSat 11:55 PM+1Market move, no reported newsMon 5:55 PM+2Closing line−1.5

Final: San José State 27, Eastern Michigan 21. Eastern Michigan missed the closing number by 7.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−4.5
Reaction to last week's gameSat Aug 29, 11:55 PM ET+1
Market move, no reported newsMon Aug 31, 5:55 PM ET+2
Closing line−1.5
What moved the Eastern Michigan moneylineEastern Michigan Eagles moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Eastern Michigan.
−122−150−186Opening line−179Reaction to last week's gameSat 11:55 PM−164Market move, no reported newsMon 5:55 PM−114Price-only move−107Closing line−107
−122−150−186Opening line−179Reaction to last week's gameSat 11:55 PM−164Market move, no reported newsMon 5:55 PM−114Price-only move−107Closing line−107
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line64.2% (−179)
Reaction to last week's gameSat Aug 29, 11:55 PM ET62.1% (−164)
Market move, no reported newsMon Aug 31, 5:55 PM ET53.3% (−114)
Price-only move51.7% (−107)
Closing line51.7% (−107)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
535455Opening line53.5Market move, no reported newsSat 11:55 AM+1Reaction to last week's gameSat 11:55 PM+0.5Closing line55
535455Opening line53.5Market move, no reported newsSat 11:55 AM+1Reaction to last week's gameSat 11:55 PM+0.5Closing line55

Final: 48 points, under the closing total of 55.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line53.5
Market move, no reported newsSat Aug 29, 11:55 AM ET+1
Reaction to last week's gameSat Aug 29, 11:55 PM ET+0.5
Closing line55

Every Book · Eastern Michigan side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−1.5 −110−1181.85 51.7%55Fri 5:55 PM
DraftKings−1.5 −108−1151.87 51.1%55.5Fri 5:55 PM
FanDuel−1.5 −110−1181.85 51.7%55.5Fri 5:55 PM
BetMGM−1.5 −108−1181.85 51.7%54.5Fri 5:55 PM
Caesars−1 −110−1181.85 52.0%55.5Fri 5:55 PM
Fanatics−1.5 −110−1201.83 52.2%55Fri 5:55 PM
BetRivers−1 −110−1171.85 51.1%55.5Fri 5:55 PM
BetOnline−1 −110−1171.85 51.5%55Fri 5:55 PM
Bovada−1.5 −105−1201.83 52.2%55Fri 5:55 PM
LowVig−1 −106−1171.85 51.5%55Fri 5:55 PM
MyBookie−1.5 −110−1201.83 51.9%55Fri 5:55 PM
BetUS−1 −110−1151.87 51.1%55Fri 5:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.