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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 1 · Early Edition

College football · Week 1 · Saturday, August 29, 3:00 PM ET · Final San José State 26, USC 42

San José State at 19USC

USC −38.5 at our first look, −38.5 at kickoff. Mountain West vs. Big Ten.

Conditions · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum: At kickoff: 94°F, wind 12 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: San José State 0.0 · USC 0.0. Market: line unchanged.

Landed: San José State 26, USC 42. San José State covered the closing line (USC −38.5). 68 points, over the closing total of 61.

San José State Spartans 0.0

No news that moves the number.

USC Trojans 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the USC lineUSC Trojans spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against USC.

−38.5 no movement since tracking began Sun 9:55 AM ET.

What moved the USC moneylineUSC Trojans moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward USC.
−1900−2400−3233Opening line−2603Price-only move−1941Closing line−1941
−1900−2400−3233Opening line−2603Price-only move−1941Closing line−1941
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line96.3% (−2603)
Price-only move95.1% (−1941)
Closing line95.1% (−1941)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
6061Opening line60.5Market move, no reported newsThu 7:55 PM+0.5Closing line61
6061Opening line60.5Market move, no reported newsThu 7:55 PM+0.5Closing line61

Final: 68 points, over the closing total of 61.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line60.5
Market move, no reported newsThu Aug 27, 7:55 PM ET+0.5
Closing line61

Every Book · USC side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−38.5 −108−500001.00 95.1%61Sat 1:55 PM
DraftKings−38.5 −105—— —60.5Sat 1:55 PM
FanDuel−38.5 −105—— —60.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetMGM−38.5 −110—— —61.5Sat 1:55 PM
Caesars−38.5 −108—— —61.5Sat 1:55 PM
Fanatics−38.5 −105—— —61Sat 1:55 PM
BetRivers−38.5 −109—— —61Sat 1:55 PM
BetOnline−38 −110—— —60.5Sat 1:55 PM
Bovada−38.5 −105—— —60.5Sat 1:55 PM
LowVig−38 −106—— —60.5Sat 1:55 PM
MyBookie−39 −110−500001.00 95.1%61.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetUS−38 −110—— —61Sat 1:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.