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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 1 · Early Edition

College football · Week 1 · Thursday, September 3, 9:00 PM ET · Final UAB 23, Illinois 42

UAB at Illinois

Illinois −28.5 at our first look, −25.5 at kickoff. American Athletic vs. Big Ten.

Conditions · Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL): At kickoff: 84°F, wind 6 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: UAB 0.0 · Illinois 0.0. Market: moved 3 toward UAB.

Landed: UAB 23, Illinois 42. UAB covered the closing line (Illinois −25.5). The move toward UAB was right. 65 points, over the closing total of 54.5.

UAB Blazers 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Illinois Fighting Illini 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Illinois lineIllinois Fighting Illini spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Illinois.
−29−28−27−26−25Opening line−28.5Market move, no reported newsMon 9:55 AM+3Closing line−25.5
−29−28−27−26−25Opening line−28.5Market move, no reported newsMon 9:55 AM+3Closing line−25.5

Final: UAB 23, Illinois 42. Illinois missed the closing number by 6.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−28.5
Market move, no reported newsMon Aug 31, 9:55 AM ET+3
Closing line−25.5
What moved the Illinois moneylineIllinois Fighting Illini moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Illinois.
−1567−1900Opening line−1861Market move, no reported newsMon 9:55 AM−1861Price-only move−1513Closing line−1513
−1567−1900Opening line−1861Market move, no reported newsMon 9:55 AM−1861Price-only move−1513Closing line−1513
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line94.9% (−1861)
Market move, no reported newsMon Aug 31, 9:55 AM ET94.9% (−1861)
Price-only move93.8% (−1513)
Closing line93.8% (−1513)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
54555657Opening line56.5Market move, no reported newsSat 9:55 AM−2Closing line54.5
54555657Opening line56.5Market move, no reported newsSat 9:55 AM−2Closing line54.5

Final: 65 points, over the closing total of 54.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line56.5
Market move, no reported newsSat Aug 29, 9:55 AM ET-2
Closing line54.5

Every Book · Illinois side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−25.5 −110−40001.02 93.8%54.5Thu 7:55 PM
DraftKings−25.5 −108−36001.03 94.0%54.5Thu 7:55 PM
FanDuel−25.5 −110−40001.02 93.6%54.5Thu 7:55 PM
BetMGM−26 −108−30001.03 94.6%54.5Thu 7:55 PM
Caesars−25.5 −110−45001.02 93.6%54Thu 7:55 PM
Fanatics−27 −110−40001.02 94.9%54Thu 5:55 PM
BetRivers−25.5 −112−100001.01 94.4%53.5Thu 7:55 PM
BetOnline−24.5 −115−40001.02 93.8%54Thu 7:55 PM
Bovada−25.5 −110−50001.02 92.7%54.5Thu 7:55 PM
LowVig−24.5 −111−40001.02 93.8%54Thu 7:55 PM
MyBookie−25 −110−30301.03 92.5%54.5Thu 7:55 PM
BetUS−25 −110—— —54Thu 7:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.