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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 1 · Early Edition

College football · Week 1 · Saturday, September 5, 10:00 PM ET · Final UNLV 21, Hawai'i 6

UNLV at Hawai'i

Hawai'i +3 at our first look, +2 at kickoff. Mountain West game.

Conditions · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex: At kickoff: 80°F, wind 13 mph (gusts 34), rain.

The read at kickoff

News: UNLV 0.0 · Hawai'i 0.0. Market: moved 1 toward Hawai'i.

Landed: UNLV 21, Hawai'i 6. UNLV covered the closing line (Hawai'i +2). The move toward Hawai'i was wrong. 27 points, under the closing total of 55.

UNLV Rebels 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Hawai'i lineHawai'i Rainbow Warriors spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Hawai'i.
+2+3Opening line+3Market move, no reported newsSat 9:55 PM−1Closing line+2
+2+3Opening line+3Market move, no reported newsSat 9:55 PM−1Closing line+2

Final: UNLV 21, Hawai'i 6. Hawai'i missed the closing number by 13.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line+3
Market move, no reported newsSat Sep 5, 9:55 PM ET-1
Closing line+2
What moved the Hawai'i moneylineHawai'i Rainbow Warriors moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Hawai'i.
+133+127+122+117Opening line+133Market move, no reported newsSat 9:55 PM+119Closing line+117
+133+127+122+117Opening line+133Market move, no reported newsSat 9:55 PM+119Closing line+117
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line42.9% (+133)
Market move, no reported newsSat Sep 5, 9:55 PM ET45.7% (+119)
Closing line46.1% (+117)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
5556575859Opening line58.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 PM−0.5Market move, no reported newsMon 7:55 PM−3Closing line55
5556575859Opening line58.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 PM−0.5Market move, no reported newsMon 7:55 PM−3Closing line55

Final: 27 points, under the closing total of 55.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line58.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Aug 30, 11:55 PM ET-0.5
Market move, no reported newsMon Aug 31, 7:55 PM ET-3
Closing line55

Every Book · Hawai'i side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus+2 −110+1082.08 46.1%55Sat 9:55 PM
DraftKings+1.5 −108+1052.05 46.8%55.5Sat 9:55 PM
FanDuel+2.5 −112+1122.12 45.2%54.5Sat 9:55 PM
BetMGM+2 −110+1052.05 46.3%55.5Sat 9:55 PM
Caesars+2 −110+1102.10 45.6%55.5Sat 9:55 PM
Fanatics+3 −110+1302.30 41.7%55.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetRivers+2.5 −108+1142.14 44.4%55Sat 9:55 PM
BetOnline+2 −112+1082.08 46.1%55Sat 9:55 PM
Bovada+2 −110+1052.05 46.8%54.5Sat 9:55 PM
LowVig+2 −108+1082.08 46.1%55Sat 9:55 PM
MyBookie+2 −110+1072.07 46.0%55Sat 9:55 PM
BetUS+2 −110+1052.05 46.8%55Sat 9:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.