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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 1 · Early Edition

College football · Week 1 · Saturday, September 5, 7:30 PM ET · Final Western Michigan 12, Michigan 13

Western Michigan at Michigan

Michigan −27.5 at our first look, −27.5 at kickoff. Mid-American vs. Big Ten.

Conditions · Michigan Stadium: At kickoff: 75°F, wind 5 mph (gusts 17), dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Western Michigan 0.0 · Michigan 0.0. Market: line unchanged.

Landed: Western Michigan 12, Michigan 13. Western Michigan covered the closing line (Michigan −27.5). 25 points, under the closing total of 49.5.

Western Michigan Broncos 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Michigan Wolverines 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Michigan lineMichigan Wolverines spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Michigan.

−27.5 no movement since tracking began Sun 9:55 AM ET.

What moved the Michigan moneylineMichigan Wolverines moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Michigan.
−1567−1900Opening line−1718Closing line−1686
−1567−1900Opening line−1718Closing line−1686
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line94.5% (−1718)
Closing line94.4% (−1686)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
47484950Opening line47.5Market move, no reported newsSun 5:55 PM+2Closing line49.5
47484950Opening line47.5Market move, no reported newsSun 5:55 PM+2Closing line49.5

Final: 25 points, under the closing total of 49.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line47.5
Market move, no reported newsSun Aug 30, 5:55 PM ET+2
Closing line49.5

Every Book · Michigan side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−27.5 −112−57501.02 94.4%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
DraftKings−27.5 −115−65001.02 95.4%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
FanDuel−27.5 −115−70001.01 95.4%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetMGM−27.5 −110−50001.02 95.1%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
Caesars−27.5 −114−100001.01 94.8%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
Fanatics−27.5 −115−40001.02 94.9%49Sat 11:55 AM
BetRivers−27.5 −113−100001.01 94.4%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetOnline−27.5 −110−50001.02 94.2%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
Bovada−27.5 −115−65001.02 93.2%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
LowVig−27.5 −106−50001.02 94.2%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
MyBookie−27.5 −110−50001.02 93.3%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetUS−27.5 −110−50001.02 94.4%49.5Sat 5:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.