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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 1 · Early Edition

College football · Week 1 · Sunday, September 6, 7:30 PM ET · Final Wisconsin 13, Notre Dame 41

Wisconsin at 3Notre Dame

Notre Dame −20.5 at our first look, −21.5 at kickoff. Big Ten vs. FBS Independents at a neutral site.

Conditions · Lambeau Field: At kickoff: 73°F, wind 4 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Wisconsin 0.0 · Notre Dame 0.0. Market: moved 1 toward Notre Dame.

Landed: Wisconsin 13, Notre Dame 41. Notre Dame covered the closing line (Notre Dame −21.5). The move toward Notre Dame was right. 54 points, over the closing total of 46.5.

Wisconsin Badgers 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Notre Dame lineNotre Dame Fighting Irish spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Notre Dame.
−22−21−20Opening line−20.5Market move, no reported newsSun 11:55 AM−1Closing line−21.5
−22−21−20Opening line−20.5Market move, no reported newsSun 11:55 AM−1Closing line−21.5

Final: Wisconsin 13, Notre Dame 41. Notre Dame beat the closing number by 6.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−20.5
Market move, no reported newsSun Sep 6, 11:55 AM ET-1
Closing line−21.5
What moved the Notre Dame moneylineNotre Dame Fighting Irish moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Notre Dame.
−1011−1150Opening line−1150Market move, no reported newsSun 11:55 AM−1150Price-only move−1049Closing line−1049
−1011−1150Opening line−1150Market move, no reported newsSun 11:55 AM−1150Price-only move−1049Closing line−1049
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line92.0% (−1150)
Market move, no reported newsSun Sep 6, 11:55 AM ET92.0% (−1150)
Price-only move91.3% (−1049)
Closing line91.3% (−1049)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
464748Opening line47.5Market move, no reported newsWed 11:55 PM−1Closing line46.5
464748Opening line47.5Market move, no reported newsWed 11:55 PM−1Closing line46.5

Final: 54 points, over the closing total of 46.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line47.5
Market move, no reported newsWed Sep 2, 11:55 PM ET-1
Closing line46.5

Every Book · Notre Dame side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−21.5 −110−20001.05 91.3%46.5Sun 5:55 PM
DraftKings−21 −122−18001.06 91.2%46.5Sun 5:55 PM
FanDuel−21.5 −102−22001.05 92.0%46.5Sun 5:55 PM
BetMGM−21.5 −105−16001.06 91.9%46.5Sun 5:55 PM
Caesars−21.5 −110−20001.05 91.3%46.5Sun 5:55 PM
Fanatics−21 −115−18001.06 91.6%46.5Sun 5:55 PM
BetRivers−21 −113−20001.05 90.0%46Sun 5:55 PM
BetOnline−21.5 −110−20001.05 91.6%46Sun 5:55 PM
Bovada−21.5 −105−18001.06 90.0%46Sun 5:55 PM
LowVig−21.5 −106−20001.05 91.6%46Sun 5:55 PM
MyBookie−21 −110−20191.05 90.8%46.5Sun 5:55 PM
BetUS−21.5 −110−16001.06 90.4%46Sun 5:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.