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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 1 · Early Edition

College football · Week 1 · Saturday, September 5, 6:00 PM ET · Final Wyoming 13, Colorado State 35

Wyoming at Colorado State

Colorado State −3.5 at our first look, −2.5 at kickoff. Mountain West vs. Pac-12.

Conditions · Canvas Stadium: At kickoff: 92°F, wind 12 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Wyoming 0.0 · Colorado State 0.0. Market: moved 1 toward Wyoming.

Landed: Wyoming 13, Colorado State 35. Colorado State covered the closing line (Colorado State −2.5). The move toward Wyoming was wrong. 48 points, over the closing total of 46.

Wyoming Cowboys 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Colorado State Rams 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Colorado State lineColorado State Rams spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Colorado State.
−4−3−2Opening line−3.5Market move, no reported newsMon 7:55 AM+1Closing line−2.5
−4−3−2Opening line−3.5Market move, no reported newsMon 7:55 AM+1Closing line−2.5

Final: Wyoming 13, Colorado State 35. Colorado State beat the closing number by 19.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−3.5
Market move, no reported newsMon Aug 31, 7:55 AM ET+1
Closing line−2.5
What moved the Colorado State moneylineColorado State Rams moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Colorado State.
−117−127−138−150Opening line−151Market move, no reported newsMon 7:55 AM−116Less than the spread implies−120Closing line−120
−117−127−138−150Opening line−151Market move, no reported newsMon 7:55 AM−116Less than the spread implies−120Closing line−120
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line60.2% (−151)
Market move, no reported newsMon Aug 31, 7:55 AM ET53.7% (−116)
Less than the spread implies54.5% (−120)
Closing line54.5% (−120)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
464748Opening line48Market move, no reported newsThu 9:55 PM−2Closing line46
464748Opening line48Market move, no reported newsThu 9:55 PM−2Closing line46

Final: 48 points, over the closing total of 46.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line48
Market move, no reported newsThu Aug 27, 9:55 PM ET-2
Closing line46

Every Book · Colorado State side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−2.5 −110−1321.76 54.5%46Sat 5:55 PM
DraftKings−2.5 −108−1301.77 54.3%46.5Sat 5:55 PM
FanDuel−2.5 −122−1441.69 56.5%46.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetMGM−2.5 −112−1351.74 54.7%45.5Sat 5:55 PM
Caesars−2.5 −113−1341.75 54.9%45.5Sat 5:55 PM
Fanatics−3 −110−1551.65 58.3%46.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetRivers−2.5 −117−1591.63 58.3%46.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetOnline−2 −109−1251.80 53.2%46Sat 5:55 PM
Bovada−2.5 −110−1301.77 54.3%46Sat 5:55 PM
LowVig−2.5 −107−1251.80 53.2%46Sat 5:55 PM
MyBookie−2.5 −110−1421.70 55.9%46Sat 5:55 PM
BetUS−2.5 −110−1251.80 53.2%46Sat 5:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.