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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 2 · Early Edition

College football · Week 2 · Saturday, September 12, 12:00 PM ET · Final App State 27, East Carolina 24

App State at East Carolina

East Carolina −8.5 at our first look, −6.5 at kickoff. Sun Belt vs. American Athletic.

Conditions · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium: At kickoff: 84°F, wind 8 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: App State 0.0 · East Carolina 0.0. Market: moved 2 toward App State.

Landed: App State 27, East Carolina 24. App State covered the closing line (East Carolina −6.5). The move toward App State was right. 51 points, under the closing total of 55.5.

App State Mountaineers 0.0

No news that moves the number.

East Carolina Pirates 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the East Carolina lineEast Carolina Pirates spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against East Carolina.
−9−8−7−6Opening line−8.5Market move, no reported newsFri 5:55 PM+0.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 AM+1.5Closing line−6.5
−9−8−7−6Opening line−8.5Market move, no reported newsFri 5:55 PM+0.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 AM+1.5Closing line−6.5

Final: App State 27, East Carolina 24. East Carolina missed the closing number by 9.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−8.5
Market move, no reported newsFri Sep 4, 5:55 PM ET+0.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 6, 1:55 AM ET+1.5
Closing line−6.5
What moved the East Carolina moneylineEast Carolina Pirates moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward East Carolina.
−213−233−257−285Opening line−288Market move, no reported newsFri 5:55 PM−258Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 AM−214Closing line−212
−213−233−257−285Opening line−288Market move, no reported newsFri 5:55 PM−258Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 AM−214Closing line−212
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line74.2% (−288)
Market move, no reported newsFri Sep 4, 5:55 PM ET72.1% (−258)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 6, 1:55 AM ET68.2% (−214)
Closing line67.9% (−212)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
555657Opening line55.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 AM+1Market move, no reported newsFri 11:55 PM−1Closing line55.5
555657Opening line55.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 AM+1Market move, no reported newsFri 11:55 PM−1Closing line55.5

Final: 51 points, under the closing total of 55.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line55.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 6, 1:55 AM ET+1
Market move, no reported newsFri Sep 11, 11:55 PM ET-1
Closing line55.5

Every Book · East Carolina side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−6.5 −110−2401.42 67.9%55.5Sat 11:55 AM
DraftKings−6.5 −112−2501.40 68.5%55.5Sat 11:55 AM
FanDuel−6.5 −108−2301.43 66.7%55.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetMGM−6.5 −108−2351.43 67.8%55.5Sat 11:55 AM
Caesars−6.5 −109−2401.42 67.9%55.5Sat 11:55 AM
Fanatics−6.5 −110−2451.41 68.1%55.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetRivers−6.5 −114−2501.40 68.2%56.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetOnline−6.5 −104−2351.43 67.4%55.5Sat 11:55 AM
Bovada−6.5 −115−2601.38 69.5%55.5Sat 11:55 AM
LowVig−6.5 −101−2351.43 67.4%55.5Sat 11:55 AM
MyBookie−6.5 −110−2501.40 68.0%56Sat 11:55 AM
BetUS−6.5 −110−2351.43 67.8%55.5Sat 11:55 AM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.