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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 2 · Early Edition

College football · Week 2 · Saturday, September 12, 12:00 PM ET · Final Arizona State 20, Texas A&M 48

Arizona State at Texas A&M

Texas A&M −16.5 at our first look, −14.5 at kickoff. Big 12 vs. SEC.

Conditions · Kyle Field: At kickoff: 91°F, wind 12 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Arizona State 0.0 · Texas A&M 0.0. Market: moved 2 toward Arizona State.

Landed: Arizona State 20, Texas A&M 48. Texas A&M covered the closing line (Texas A&M −14.5). The move toward Arizona State was wrong. 68 points, over the closing total of 51.5.

Arizona State Sun Devils 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Texas A&M Aggies 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Texas A&M lineTexas A&M Aggies spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Texas A&M.
−17−16−15−14Opening line−16.5Market move, no reported newsFri 11:58 AM+2Closing line−14.5
−17−16−15−14Opening line−16.5Market move, no reported newsFri 11:58 AM+2Closing line−14.5

Final: Arizona State 20, Texas A&M 48. Texas A&M beat the closing number by 13.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−16.5
Market move, no reported newsFri Sep 4, 11:58 AM ET+2
Closing line−14.5
What moved the Texas A&M moneylineTexas A&M Aggies moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Texas A&M.
−426−456−488−525−567Opening line−432Market move, no reported newsFri 11:58 AM−432Price-only move−545Closing line−545
−426−456−488−525−567Opening line−432Market move, no reported newsFri 11:58 AM−432Price-only move−545Closing line−545
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line81.2% (−432)
Market move, no reported newsFri Sep 4, 11:58 AM ET81.2% (−432)
Price-only move84.5% (−545)
Closing line84.5% (−545)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
505152Opening line51.5Market move, no reported newsFri 3:55 PM−1Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM+1Closing line51.5
505152Opening line51.5Market move, no reported newsFri 3:55 PM−1Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM+1Closing line51.5

Final: 68 points, over the closing total of 51.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line51.5
Market move, no reported newsFri Sep 4, 3:55 PM ET-1
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 6, 11:55 AM ET+1
Closing line51.5

Every Book · Texas A&M side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−14.5 −110−7251.14 84.5%51.5Sat 11:55 AM
DraftKings−14.5 −115−7501.13 84.7%51.5Sat 11:55 AM
FanDuel−14.5 −110−7501.13 84.5%51.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetMGM−14.5 −118−7001.14 84.5%51.5Sat 11:55 AM
Caesars−14.5 −113−8001.12 84.7%51.5Sat 11:55 AM
Fanatics−15 −110−7001.14 84.0%51.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetRivers−15 −110−10001.10 85.5%51Sat 11:55 AM
BetOnline−14.5 −116−7251.14 84.5%51.5Sat 11:55 AM
Bovada−15 −110−7001.14 83.4%51.5Sat 11:55 AM
LowVig−14.5 −111−7251.14 84.5%51.5Sat 11:55 AM
MyBookie−14.5 −110−7521.13 84.3%51Sat 11:55 AM
BetUS−14.5 −110−7001.14 84.0%51.5Sat 11:55 AM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.