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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 2 · Early Edition

College football · Week 2 · Saturday, September 12, 3:30 PM ET · Final Arizona 17, BYU 28

Arizona at 8BYU

BYU −6.5 at our first look, −7 at kickoff. Big 12 game.

Conditions · LaVell Edwards Stadium: At kickoff: 88°F, wind 13 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Arizona 0.0 · BYU 0.0. Market: moved 0.5 toward BYU.

Landed: Arizona 17, BYU 28. BYU covered the closing line (BYU −7). The move toward BYU was right. 45 points, under the closing total of 48.5.

Arizona Wildcats 0.0

No news that moves the number.

BYU Cougars 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the BYU lineBYU Cougars spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against BYU.
−7−6Opening line−6.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 AM−0.5Closing line−7
−7−6Opening line−6.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 AM−0.5Closing line−7

Final: Arizona 17, BYU 28. BYU beat the closing number by 4.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−6.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 6, 1:55 AM ET-0.5
Closing line−7
What moved the BYU moneylineBYU Cougars moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward BYU.
−233−257−285−317Opening line−282Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 AM−307Less than the spread implies−234Closing line−234
−233−257−285−317Opening line−282Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 AM−307Less than the spread implies−234Closing line−234
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line73.8% (−282)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 6, 1:55 AM ET75.4% (−307)
Less than the spread implies70.1% (−234)
Closing line70.1% (−234)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
48495051525354Opening line53.5Market move, no reported newsFri 3:55 PM−4Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 PM−1Closing line48.5
48505254Opening line53.5Market move, no reported newsFri 3:55 PM−4Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 PM−1Closing line48.5

Final: 45 points, under the closing total of 48.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line53.5
Market move, no reported newsFri Sep 4, 3:55 PM ET-4
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 6, 3:55 PM ET-1
Closing line48.5

Every Book · BYU side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−7 −110−2751.36 70.1%48.5Sat 1:55 PM
DraftKings−7 −110−2701.37 70.0%48.5Sat 1:55 PM
FanDuel−6.5 −122−2751.36 70.1%48.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetMGM−7 −110−2751.36 70.1%48.5Sat 1:55 PM
Caesars−7 −107−2751.36 70.1%48Sat 1:55 PM
Fanatics−7 −110−2801.36 70.5%49Sat 1:55 PM
BetRivers−7.5 −105−3351.30 72.4%48Sat 1:55 PM
BetOnline−6.5 −125−2651.38 69.8%49Sat 1:55 PM
Bovada−7 −110−2751.36 70.4%49Sat 1:55 PM
LowVig−6.5 −122−2651.38 69.8%49Sat 1:55 PM
MyBookie−7 −110−2711.37 69.4%48.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetUS−7 −110−2651.38 70.1%48.5Sat 1:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.