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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 2 · Early Edition

College football · Week 2 · Saturday, September 12, 7:00 PM ET · Final Bowling Green 7, Nebraska 56

Bowling Green at Nebraska

Nebraska −25.5 at our first look, −30.5 at kickoff. Mid-American vs. Big Ten.

Conditions · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE): At kickoff: 70°F, wind 4 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Bowling Green 0.0 · Nebraska 0.0. Market: moved 5 toward Nebraska.

Landed: Bowling Green 7, Nebraska 56. Nebraska covered the closing line (Nebraska −30.5). The move toward Nebraska was right. 63 points, over the closing total of 49.5.

Bowling Green Falcons 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Nebraska Cornhuskers 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Nebraska lineNebraska Cornhuskers spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Nebraska.
−31−30−29−28−27−26−25Opening line−25.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 AM−3Market move, no reported newsWed 1:55 PM−2Closing line−30.5
−30−28−26Opening line−25.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 AM−3Market move, no reported newsWed 1:55 PM−2Closing line−30.5

Final: Bowling Green 7, Nebraska 56. Nebraska beat the closing number by 18.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−25.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 6, 1:55 AM ET-3
Market move, no reported newsWed Sep 9, 1:55 PM ET-2
Closing line−30.5
What moved the Nebraska moneylineNebraska Cornhuskers moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Nebraska.
−1567−1900Opening line−1654Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 AM−1654Market move, no reported newsWed 1:55 PM−1654Price-only move−1861Closing line−1861
−1567−1900Opening line−1654Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 AM−1654Market move, no reported newsWed 1:55 PM−1654Price-only move−1861Closing line−1861
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line94.3% (−1654)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 6, 1:55 AM ET94.3% (−1654)
Market move, no reported newsWed Sep 9, 1:55 PM ET94.3% (−1654)
Price-only move94.9% (−1861)
Closing line94.9% (−1861)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
464748495051Opening line50.5Market move, no reported newsFri 5:55 PM−4.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 AM+3.5Closing line49.5
464748495051Opening line50.5Market move, no reported newsFri 5:55 PM−4.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 AM+3.5Closing line49.5

Final: 63 points, over the closing total of 49.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line50.5
Market move, no reported newsFri Sep 4, 5:55 PM ET-4.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 6, 1:55 AM ET+3.5
Closing line49.5

Every Book · Nebraska side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−30.5 −112−100001.01 94.9%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
DraftKings−30.5 −112−65001.02 95.4%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
FanDuel−30.5 −112−200001.00 97.3%50.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetMGM−30.5 −112−100001.01 96.6%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
Caesars−30.5 −114−50001.02 94.3%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
Fanatics−30.5 −115−70001.01 96.2%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetRivers−30.5 −109—— —50.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetOnline−31.5 −105−100001.01 94.9%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
Bovada−30.5 −120−100001.01 94.4%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
LowVig−31 −106−100001.01 94.9%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
MyBookie−30.5 −110−100001.01 94.4%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetUS−31 −110—— —49Sat 5:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.