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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 2 · Early Edition

College football · Week 2 · Saturday, September 12, 3:30 PM ET · Final California 21, Syracuse 18

California at Syracuse

Syracuse +2.5 at our first look, −3.5 at kickoff. ACC game.

Conditions · JMA Wireless Dome: Indoors.

The read at kickoff

News: California 0.0 · Syracuse 0.0. Market: moved 6 toward Syracuse.

Landed: California 21, Syracuse 18. California covered the closing line (Syracuse −3.5). The move toward Syracuse was wrong. 39 points, under the closing total of 56.5.

California Golden Bears 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Syracuse Orange 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Syracuse lineSyracuse Orange spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Syracuse.
−4−3−2−1PK+1+2+3Opening line+2.5Market move, no reported newsFri 3:55 PM−1.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:55 AM−4.5Closing line−3.5
−4−2PK+2Opening line+2.5Market move, no reported newsFri 3:55 PM−1.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:55 AM−4.5Closing line−3.5

Final: California 21, Syracuse 18. Syracuse missed the closing number by 6.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line+2.5
Market move, no reported newsFri Sep 4, 3:55 PM ET-1.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 6, 7:55 AM ET-4.5
Closing line−3.5
What moved the Syracuse moneylineSyracuse Orange moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Syracuse.
+122−100−122−150−186Opening line+114Market move, no reported newsFri 3:55 PM−117Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:55 AM−173Less than the spread implies−164Closing line−164
+122−100−122−150−186Opening line+114Market move, no reported newsFri 3:55 PM−117Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:55 AM−173Less than the spread implies−164Closing line−164
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line46.7% (+114)
Market move, no reported newsFri Sep 4, 3:55 PM ET54.0% (−117)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 6, 7:55 AM ET63.4% (−173)
Less than the spread implies62.1% (−164)
Closing line62.1% (−164)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
525354555657Opening line53.5Market move, no reported newsFri 3:55 PM−1Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 AM+4Closing line56.5
525354555657Opening line53.5Market move, no reported newsFri 3:55 PM−1Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 AM+4Closing line56.5

Final: 39 points, under the closing total of 56.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line53.5
Market move, no reported newsFri Sep 4, 3:55 PM ET-1
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 6, 1:55 AM ET+4
Closing line56.5

Every Book · Syracuse side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−3.5 −110−1801.56 62.1%56.5Sat 1:55 PM
DraftKings−3.5 −108−1921.52 63.1%56.5Sat 1:55 PM
FanDuel−3.5 −108−1701.59 60.2%56.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetMGM−3.5 −110−1851.54 61.9%56.5Sat 1:55 PM
Caesars−3.5 −110−1821.55 61.9%56.5Sat 1:55 PM
Fanatics−3.5 −115−1801.56 61.6%57Sat 1:55 PM
BetRivers−3.5 −114−1901.53 62.1%57Sat 1:55 PM
BetOnline−3.5 −114−1801.56 62.3%56.5Sat 1:55 PM
Bovada−3.5 −115−1801.56 62.1%57Sat 1:55 PM
LowVig−3.5 −106−1801.56 62.3%56.5Sat 1:55 PM
MyBookie−3.5 −110−1861.54 61.9%57Sat 1:55 PM
BetUS−3.5 −115−1801.56 62.1%57Sat 1:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.