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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 2 · Early Edition

College football · Week 2 · Saturday, September 12, 7:45 PM ET · Final Charlotte 9, Ole Miss 41

Charlotte at 9Ole Miss

Ole Miss −46.5 at our first look, −45.5 at kickoff. American Athletic vs. SEC.

Conditions · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium: At kickoff: 83°F, wind 4 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Charlotte 0.0 · Ole Miss 0.0. Market: moved 1 toward Charlotte.

Landed: Charlotte 9, Ole Miss 41. Charlotte covered the closing line (Ole Miss −45.5). The move toward Charlotte was right. 50 points, under the closing total of 59.5.

Charlotte 49ers 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Ole Miss Rebels 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Ole Miss lineOle Miss Rebels spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Ole Miss.
−47−46−45Opening line−46.5Market move, no reported newsSun 5:55 PM+1Closing line−45.5
−47−46−45Opening line−46.5Market move, no reported newsSun 5:55 PM+1Closing line−45.5

Final: Charlotte 9, Ole Miss 41. Ole Miss missed the closing number by 13.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−46.5
Market move, no reported newsSun Sep 6, 5:55 PM ET+1
Closing line−45.5
What moved the Ole Miss moneylineOle Miss Rebels moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Ole Miss.
−9900Opening line−9900Market move, no reported newsSun 5:55 PM−9900Closing line−9900
−9900Opening line−9900Market move, no reported newsSun 5:55 PM−9900Closing line−9900
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line99.0% (−9900)
Market move, no reported newsSun Sep 6, 5:55 PM ET99.0% (−9900)
Closing line99.0% (−9900)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
59606162Opening line61.5Market move, no reported newsWed 5:55 AM−2Closing line59.5
59606162Opening line61.5Market move, no reported newsWed 5:55 AM−2Closing line59.5

Final: 50 points, under the closing total of 59.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line61.5
Market move, no reported newsWed Sep 9, 5:55 AM ET-2
Closing line59.5

Every Book · Ole Miss side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−45.5 −109—— —59.5Sat 5:55 PM
DraftKings−45.5 −105—— —59.5Sat 5:55 PM
FanDuel−45.5 −110—— —59.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetMGM−45.5 −108—— —60.5Sat 5:55 PM
Caesars−45.5 −104—— —59.5Sat 5:55 PM
Fanatics−45.5 −105—— —59.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetRivers−45.5 −109—— —59.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetOnline−45 −112—— —59Sat 5:55 PM
Bovada−44.5 −115—— —59.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetUS−45 −110—— —59Sat 5:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.