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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 2 · Early Edition

College football · Week 2 · Saturday, September 12, 3:30 PM ET · Final Eastern Michigan 7, Michigan State 35

Eastern Michigan at Michigan State

Michigan State −16.5 at our first look, −17.5 at kickoff. Mid-American vs. Big Ten.

Conditions · Spartan Stadium: At kickoff: 83°F, wind 10 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Eastern Michigan 0.0 · Michigan State 0.0. Market: moved 1 toward Michigan State.

Landed: Eastern Michigan 7, Michigan State 35. Michigan State covered the closing line (Michigan State −17.5). The move toward Michigan State was right. 42 points, under the closing total of 49.5.

Eastern Michigan Eagles 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Michigan State Spartans 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Michigan State lineMichigan State Spartans spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Michigan State.
−18−17−16Opening line−16.5Reaction to last week's gameSat 1:55 AM−1Closing line−17.5
−18−17−16Opening line−16.5Reaction to last week's gameSat 1:55 AM−1Closing line−17.5

Final: Eastern Michigan 7, Michigan State 35. Michigan State beat the closing number by 10.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−16.5
Reaction to last week's gameSat Sep 5, 1:55 AM ET-1
Closing line−17.5
What moved the Michigan State moneylineMichigan State Spartans moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Michigan State.
−614−669Opening line−641Reaction to last week's gameSat 1:55 AM−641Closing line−658
−614−669Opening line−641Reaction to last week's gameSat 1:55 AM−641Closing line−658
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line86.5% (−641)
Reaction to last week's gameSat Sep 5, 1:55 AM ET86.5% (−641)
Closing line86.8% (−658)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
495051Opening line50.5Market move, no reported newsTue 11:55 AM−1Closing line49.5
495051Opening line50.5Market move, no reported newsTue 11:55 AM−1Closing line49.5

Final: 42 points, under the closing total of 49.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line50.5
Market move, no reported newsTue Sep 8, 11:55 AM ET-1
Closing line49.5

Every Book · Michigan State side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−17.5 −106−9501.11 86.8%49.5Sat 1:55 PM
DraftKings−17.5 −105−9001.11 86.3%49.5Sat 1:55 PM
FanDuel−17.5 −106−10001.10 87.1%49.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetMGM−17 −110−9001.11 87.1%49.5Sat 1:55 PM
Caesars−17.5 −107−10001.10 86.8%49.5Sat 1:55 PM
Fanatics−17.5 −105−9501.11 87.2%49.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetRivers−17.5 −109−12501.08 87.4%49.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetOnline−17.5 −104−9251.11 86.7%50Sat 1:55 PM
Bovada−17 −115−10001.10 86.8%50Sat 1:55 PM
LowVig−17.5 +100−9251.11 86.7%50Sat 1:55 PM
MyBookie−17.5 −110−10001.10 86.7%49.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetUS−17.5 −105−9251.11 86.6%50Sat 1:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.